2011/12/31

社説:原発コスト 「安価神話」も崩壊した

専門用語:
renewable energy 再生可能エネルギー(=自然エネルギー)
再生可能エネルギーは新聞社による英語よりの翻訳ですが、自然エネルギーというほうが分かりやすいのかもしれませんね。
(スラチャイ)

(Mainichi Japan) December 29, 2011
Editorial: Gov't should promote renewable energy as myth of nuclear power's cheapness shattered
社説:原発コスト 「安価神話」も崩壊した

"The cost of nuclear power generation is cheap" -- we have repeatedly heard such a line as part of the reasoning for promoting nuclear energy.
 「原発の発電コストは安い」。これまで原発推進のひとつの根拠として繰り返されてきた言葉である。

The myth of the cheapness of nuclear power generation collapsed following the catastrophe at the Fukushima No. 1 Nuclear Power Plant.
 東京電力福島第1原発の大事故を経て、この「安価神話」が崩れた。

A government panel set up in the wake of the nuclear disaster estimates that the cost of nuclear power generation now stands at a minimum of 8.9 yen per kilowatt hour -- 1.5 times higher than the figure presented by utilities and the government before the disaster.
 事故後、原発コストの見直しを進めてきた政府の「コスト等検証委員会」の試算によると原発の発電コストは最低でも1キロワット時当たり8.9円。これまで電力会社や政府が提示してきたコストの1.5倍となる。

If the costs for decontaminating areas affected by radioactive materials, decommissioning the damaged reactors at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear plant and compensating for damages emanating from the nuclear crisis soar further, the cost of nuclear power generation would be even higher.
 放射性物質の除染や廃炉、損害の費用など今後の事故処理の費用がかさめば、さらにコストは増す。

Considering the fact that the costs of coal-fired power generation and liquefied natural gas (LNG)-fueled power generation stand at somewhere near 10 yen per kilowatt hour, respectively, the superiority that nuclear power generation had enjoyed in terms of "cost performance" can be said to have been shattered.
 石炭火力、液化天然ガス(LNG)火力が10円前後であることを思えば、原発のコストの優位性は大きく揺らいだといえる。

Even wind power generation and geothermal power generation could rival with nuclear power generation in terms of cost performance depending on conditions, while the cost of solar power generation is likely to become cheaper in 20 years time.
風力や地熱も条件がよければ原子力に対抗でき、太陽光も20年後にはそれなりに安くなる可能性が示されている。

The government should take this opportunity to proceed with full-scale measures to invest in and promote renewable energy sources, which had previously been shunned for their "high costs."
 政府はこれをきっかけに、「コスト高」を理由に敬遠されてきた再生可能エネルギーへの投資と推進政策を本気になって進めるべきだ。

What makes the government panel's latest estimation significantly different from previous calculations is that the panel took into consideration the social costs emanating from nuclear power generation, such as accident risks, on top of the expenses for the construction, operation and maintenance of nuclear power plants as well as their fuel costs.
 今回の試算がこれまでと大きく違う点は、建設費や運転維持費、燃料費などに加え、事故リスクや二酸化炭素対応といった社会的コストも勘案した点だ。

In hindsight, it was a mistake that we failed to take into account accident risks involving nuclear plants.
考えてみれば、これまで事故リスクを度外視してきたことが間違いだった。

It shows that the myths of the safety and the cheapness of nuclear power generation were closely intertwined with each other.
「安全神話」と「安価神話」はセットになっていたことになる。

The government panel has also indicated that energy savings per household are tantamount to generating power and pointed to the potential of a dispersed power system, to which we should pay renewed attention.
 検証委は家庭の省エネは発電に等しいという考え方や分散型電源の潜在力も示している。

The panel's estimates should be indicating the feasibility of the government's policy of cutting down on nuclear power generation.
改めて注目したい。こうした試算を踏まえれば、今後原発を減らしていくという政府の「脱原発依存」の実現性が見えてくるはずだ。

In the meantime, we should take heed of the fact that the figures currently presented are highly uncertain.  
現時点で示された数値は不確実性が高いことにも留意したい。

Experts were sharply divided in their opinions over how nuclear accident risks should be evaluated when they were discussing how they should calculate the latest estimates.
試算の過程では、原発事故のリスクをどう評価するかで、専門家の意見が大きく割れた。

While some experts projected that the odds of such a serious accident as the Fukushima disaster happening were once every 100,000 years, their opinions are way too different from ordinary people's feelings considering the fact that we have seen three major nuclear accidents across the globe -- Three Mile Island in the United States in 1979, Chernobyl in the former Soviet Union in 1986, and Fukushima in 2011 -- over the past several decades.
 今回のような深刻な事故が起きる確率を「10万年に1回」と仮定する専門家もいたが、米スリーマイル島原発、旧ソ連のチェルノブイリ原発の事故に、今回の福島の事故を考えあわせると普通の人の感覚とかけ離れている。

It should be noted that the government panel has given minimum estimates because it excluded accident probabilities from their estimates for nuclear accident risk-related costs.
 検証委は今回、事故確率を含まない方法で事故リスク対応費をはじいたが、もっとも低い見積もりであることを忘れてはならない。

The panel has also indicated that the cost of the nuclear fuel cycle -- which the government describes as the core of Japan's nuclear energy policy -- is almost twice that of direct disposal.
 日本が原子力政策の要とする核燃料サイクルも直接処分に比べ約2倍高いという試算が示されている。

The nuclear fuel cycle program, albeit the large amount of money spent on it, should be reviewed from square one.
これまでつぎこんだ費用は大きいが、ゼロから考え直すべきだ。

The panel's estimates should be examined by people from various quarters in order for Japan to come up with the best mix of energy policies.
 今後は、こうした試算をさまざまな立場の人が検証しつつ、エネルギーのベストミックスを考えていく必要がある。

Those estimates should serve as the first step toward achieving such diverse energy policies.
試算をそのスタートとしたい。

毎日新聞 2011年12月26日 2時31分

2011/12/30

辺野古アセス―またまた見切り発車だ

米国議会のほうが先に手を引き始めたような印象を受けました。
沖縄の米軍基地はやはり国外移設が妥当ではないのでしょうか。
抑止力、本気でアメリカに期待できますか?
自国の自治、統治権を守るのはやはり日本の自衛隊でしょう。
20代のころ名古屋の栄(さかえ)のテレビ塔の下をブラブラしていたら、自衛隊に入りませんかって勧誘されたことがあります。自衛隊も人材不足なのでしょうね。特に制服組は。
(スラチャイ)

--The Asahi Shimbun, Dec. 28
EDITORIAL: Rethink needed for Futenma relocation plan
辺野古アセス―またまた見切り発車だ

In continued disregard of Okinawa Prefecture's vehement opposition to the planned relocation of the U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma to the Henoko district in Nago, the Democratic Party of Japan administration has delivered to the Okinawa prefectural government an environmental assessment report on the construction of a new offshore runway.
 沖縄県の米軍普天間飛行場移設問題で、民主党政権がまた「見切り発車」を重ねた。
 名護市辺野古沖を埋め立てて代替滑走路をつくるための環境影響評価(アセスメント)の評価書を県に送ろうとしたのだ。

In early November, the Okinawa prefectural assembly unanimously adopted a statement demanding that the central government abandon the submission of such an environmental assessment report. Later that month, the director-general of the Okinawa Defense Bureau outraged the people of Okinawa by using a rape analogy to explain Tokyo's reluctance to set the submission date of the assessment report.
 沖縄県議会が全会一致で反対決議をするなど、地元の拒否姿勢は明確だ。11月には、沖縄防衛局長が提出時期をめぐって「犯す前に犯すよと言いますか」という趣旨の暴言をはき、反発の火に油を注いでいた。

Determined to stop Tokyo from having its way, Okinawan protesters gathered outside the prefectural government building on Dec. 27, surrounded the van carrying the report, and prevented the report from being handed over to Okinawa Governor Hirokazu Nakaima.
 反対派の市民らに、配送業者による県庁への搬入が阻止されるという異常事態は、この問題の難しさを象徴している。

But the administration of Yoshihiko Noda delivered the report to Nakaima on Dec. 28 because of its earlier promise to Washington to submit it by the end of this year. But the U.S. Congress recently decided to cut expenditures from the 2012 budget for the transfer of Marines from Okinawa to Guam, which was part of the relocation package. Saddled with massive deficits, the Americans are not saving military spending from the ax.
 それでも野田政権が行政手続きを進めるのは、「年内提出」を米国に事実上約束していたからだ。しかし、その米国では上下両院が、辺野古移設とセットの沖縄海兵隊のグアム移転費用を12会計年度予算から削除した。膨大な財政赤字を抱え、軍事費といえども聖域ではなくなっているのだ。

Nakaima was not opposed to Tokyo's submission of the environmental assessment report per se. But he has always stood for Futenma's relocation to outside Okinawa or overseas, and stated his unequivocal opposition to the reclamation of the sea off Henoko.
 沖縄県の仲井真弘多(ひろかず)知事は、評価書の提出自体は容認した。しかし、県外・国外移設を求める立場は崩しておらず、埋め立てを認めない意向も明言した。

Although Nakaima welcomed Tokyo's decision to substantially increase its Okinawa promotion budget for fiscal 2012, the fact that he was re-elected governor on his anti-Henoko platform makes it most unlikely that he would go against public opinion in his prefecture on this issue.
 来年度の沖縄振興予算が大幅に増額されたことは評価しても、辺野古反対を掲げて再選した経緯からいって、県民世論の大勢に反して受け入れることはあるまい。

May 2012 will mark the 40th anniversary of Okinawa's reversion to Japan, and a prefectural assembly election is slated for June. The Noda administration is looking to file an application for reclamation with Nakaima next summer after the completion of environmental assessment procedures, but to do so would only fan the distrust and anger of the people of Okinawa.
 沖縄は来年、5月に本土復帰40年を迎え、6月には県議選がある「政治の季節」になる。野田政権はアセス完了後、来夏にも、知事への埋め立て免許申請を視野に入れるが、そんなことをすれば、沖縄の不信と反発をいっそう大きくするだけだ。

Tokyo and Washington must stop and think.
 日米両政府は、いまこそ立ち止まるべきだ。

Henoko was chosen as the relocation site after lengthy negotiations between Tokyo and Washington to reconcile the two conflicting goals of easing Okinawa's burden and maintaining the deterrence power of U.S. forces in Japan. Given the history, we certainly appreciate the difficulty of reviewing the whole plan from scratch to seek a new solution.
 辺野古案は沖縄の負担軽減と在日米軍の抑止力維持という、矛盾する二つの目的を両立させようと、両政府が長い交渉を経てまとめたものだ。その努力を踏まえれば、白紙から見直しても簡単に新しい解決策を見つけるのは難しいだろう。

But that is the only option if any progress is to be made at all.
 だが、それ以上に現状には展望がない。

Next year, presidential elections or leadership changes will take place in the United States, China, Russia, South Korea and Taiwan. And with the recent death of Kim Jong Il in North Korea, the situation in East Asia has grown less predictable.
 来年は米国、中国、ロシア、韓国、台湾で、最高指導者を選ぶ選挙や指導層の交代が予定されている。北朝鮮の代替わりもあり、東アジア情勢は不透明感を増している。

An unsteady Japan-U.S. relationship will destabilize the region and weaken the diplomatic bases of both partners.
 日米関係が揺らげば、地域の安定を損ない、双方の外交基盤を弱めるだけだ。

Seeking a new solution is a daunting challenge that also requires every care along the way. But the leaders of both Japan and the United States must accept the fact that this is their only option.
 打開策を探る作業は困難で、細心の注意を要するが、立ち向かうしか道はない。日米の政治指導者は、そう覚悟すべきだ。

2011/12/29

原発事故報告―危機を想定せぬ愚かさ

今朝、英字新聞各社をチェックして、また腰が抜けちゃいました。
朝日新聞英字紙が無料で閲覧できるようになっていました。
やはり新聞は無料だと助かります。ありがとうございます。
(スラチャイ)

--The Asahi Shimbun, Dec. 27
EDITORIAL: Fukushima report highlights crisis management flaws
原発事故報告―危機を想定せぬ愚かさ

A report on an investigation into the Fukushima nuclear disaster has made us wonder if the operator of the crippled plant put blind faith in the facility because of the "safety myth" created by propaganda to promote nuclear power generation.
The interim report was published on Dec. 26 by a government panel looking into the disastrous accident at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant triggered by the March 11 earthquake and tsunami.
 原発PRの安全神話によって原子力の当事者自身も安全ぼけに陥ってはいなかったか。
 福島第一原発をめぐる政府の事故調査・検証委員会中間報告を読むと、そう思わせる。

At the No. 1 reactor, members of the task force at the plant and the head office of Tokyo Electric Power Co., which operates the plant, initially failed to recognize that an isolation condenser, which is intended to cool the reactor during a blackout, was not working, according to the report.
 1号機では当初、停電時に炉を冷やす非常用復水器の機能が不全だったのを、発電所も東京電力本社も気づかなかった。

The report bitterly criticized TEPCO for lacking sufficient understanding of how the condenser works. "As a nuclear power plant operator, it was highly inappropriate," said the report. The fact indicates how little importance TEPCO engineers placed on such a system to deal with an emergency.
 装置のしくみを十分理解していなかったことを、中間報告は「原子力事業者として極めて不適切」と批判する。技術陣にとって、非常のための装置がどれほど遠い存在だったかわかる。

The interim report also addressed problems concerning facilities outside the plant, such as the off-site center located 5 kilometers away. The center failed to perform its functions as the front-line base to respond to a nuclear accident. That's because the center was not designed to function under circumstances of heightened levels of radiation even though it is a facility to be used when an accident has broken out at the nuclear power plant.
(中間報告書は原発から5kmのところにある外部センターについても言及している。
外部センターは原発事故の際に最前線となる機能を失っていた。
その原因は実際の原発事故に対応できる設計ではなかったことによる。)
(この部分の日本語なし、で、スラチャイが訳しました)

The document, naturally, also raised the issue of the fact that data of the government's System for Prediction of Environmental Emergency Dose Information (SPEEDI), a system to predict the spread of radioactive materials during a nuclear emergency, was not used for the evacuation of residents in areas around the disaster-stricken plant. The government "didn't have the thought of publicizing SPEEDI information," according to the report. Why did the government decide to spend taxpayers' money to build the system in the first place if it didn't think about communicating information it generates to local residents?
(政府肝いりの原発事故の際に使われるべきSPEEDIも、事故の際に使われなかった。
政府はSPEEDIのデータを公開していなかったのだ。
最初から国民のために使う気がないシステムを政府は何故導入したのか。アホか^^。)
(この部分の日本語なし、で、スラチャイが訳しました)

The inquiry panel also pointed an accusing finger at the prime minister's office. The report said there was not enough mutual communication between the underground crisis management center, where top officials of ministries and agencies concerned gathered, and the room on the fifth floor where the prime minister and his close aides worked to deal with the situation.
 報告は首相官邸も批判した。省庁幹部が集まる地下の危機管理センターと、首相らが陣取る5階との連絡が互いに十分でなかったと指摘している。

The report painted a distressing picture of how top officials at TEPCO and the government got flustered in the face of the nuclear crisis as they lacked knowledge about what to do in such a severe event. We applaud the investigation panel for shedding light on this disturbing truth. But the report has still left some stones unturned.
 見えてくるのは、大事故のときに、何をどう動かせばいいのかの知識に欠け、あたふたする東電と政府関係者の姿である。それを浮かび上がらせたことは評価したい。だが、まだ足りないところもある。

The report pointed to the possibility that the core meltdown at the No. 1 reactor could have been at least delayed through an earlier injection of water if the plant operator had had an accurate grasp of the situation. But it failed to make clear how missteps and errors in judgment actually worsened the damage.
 たとえば、1号機で状況把握が的確なら、早めの注水などで炉心損傷を遅らせられた可能性を述べているが、不手際や判断ミスが被害をどれほど広げたかは、はっきりと見えてこない。

We have some advice for the panel as it continues to prepare a final report to be published next summer.
 そこで、来年夏の最終報告に向けて注文したいことがある。

First of all, we urge the panel to be more willing to seek the help of outside experts. That the panel has no expert in nuclear reactors among its members is good from the viewpoint of insulating its work from the influence of the "nuclear village"--a close-knit community of policymakers, industry executives and scientists bent on promoting nuclear power generation. But its lack of necessary expertise could make it difficult for the panel to understand what happened in the reactors.
 まず、外部の知識を積極的にとり入れてほしい。委員に原子炉の専門家がいないのは、「原子力村」の論理を避けるためによいことだが、炉で何が起こったかを知るには困難もある。

We also want the panel to interview as many politicians involved as possible. This is also crucial for uncovering the truth about the SPEEDI fiasco.
 もう一つは、政治家からの聴取をどんどん進めてほしいことだ。これは、SPEEDI問題の解明にも欠かせまい。

Yotaro Hatamura, an engineer who heads the panel, advocates the "science of failure." The principal purpose of research in this field is to prevent big failures by examining small ones. It is important to scrutinize the many small failures that must have occurred during the nuclear disaster to learn necessary lessons. We hope the panel will step up its efforts to accomplish its mission during the remaining half year.
 検証委員会の委員長を務める工学者畑村洋太郎さんは、失敗学の提唱者だ。その核心は、小さな失敗を調べて大きな失敗を防ぐことにある。今回の原子力災害でも、その過程にあったとみられる数々の失敗を調べ、そこから教訓を得たい。あと半年の追い込みに期待する。

2011/12/28

反プーチンデモ ロシアに「法の支配」が必要だ

The Yomiuri Shimbun (Dec. 27, 2011)
Putin must commit fully to rule of law in Russia
反プーチンデモ ロシアに「法の支配」が必要だ(12月26日付・読売社説)

Mass rallies to protest the high-handed political tactics of Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin illustrate public discontent with his long-standing grip on power.
 ロシアのプーチン首相の強権的な政治手法に反発する大規模なデモは、長期執権への不満の表れだろう。

It can be said that the contradictions plaguing Russia have come to the fore 20 years after the collapse of the former Soviet Union.
 ソ連の解体から20年、ロシアが今日、抱える矛盾が露呈したと言える。

Demonstrations began immediately after an election for the State Duma earlier this month, as protesters claimed there had been vote-rigging and called for the election to be held again. An image of alleged vote-rigging was posted on the Internet, igniting the rallies.
 デモは、12月の下院選直後、選挙に不正があったとしてやり直しを求める形で始まった。不正工作の証拠という映像が、インターネットで流され、火がついた。

About 30,000 people gathered in Moscow alone Saturday, according to Russia's Interior Ministry. It was the biggest antigovernment rally of Putin's tenure, surpassing the one held Dec. 10. In addition to decrying the alleged election irregularities, the protesters openly called for an end to Putin's rule, shouting, "Russia without Putin."
 24日は、モスクワだけで約3万人(内務省発表)が集まり、プーチン時代では10日を上回る大規模な反政府集会となった。選挙不正を批判するだけでなく、「プーチンなきロシアを」と、退陣を求める声が公然とあがった。

During the 12 years of his grip on power as president and prime minister, Russian politics became relatively stable and its economy grew remarkably thanks to high crude oil prices.
 プーチン氏が大統領、首相として実権を握った12年間で、政治はひとまず安定し、原油高の追い風を受け経済成長も遂げた。

The recent series of rallies, however, indicates the people's mounting dissatisfaction with Putin, who is aiming to prolong his rule by running in the presidential election next March.
 だが、相次ぐデモは、来年3月の大統領選出馬で長期執権をもくろむプーチン氏への不満の高まりをうかがわせるものだ。

===

Anger against corruption

It is noteworthy that many participants in the anti-Putin protests were middle-class and intellectual people whose situations improved due to the economic growth.
 反プーチン集会の参加者に、経済成長で台頭した中間層やインテリが多かった点が注目される。

They may be prompted by their anger toward the little progress made in modernizing Russian politics. Their indignation is largely targeted at the rampant corruption in the bureaucratic machine, which has collusive ties with the ruling party.
 背景には、一向に近代化しない政治への怒りがあるのだろう。与党と癒着した官僚組織に、汚職が蔓延(まんえん)していることが大きい。

The government made full use of TV media as a publicity tool to lead the campaign in favor of the ruling United Russia party. Lack of impartiality, a prerequisite for elections, spurred criticism of the administration.
 政権は下院選で、与党に有利になるよう、テレビを宣伝道具として駆使した。選挙の前提となる「公正さ」を欠いたことが、政権批判に拍車をかけた。

Putin has refused demands to hold a new election. He is trying to get out of his present difficulties by pledging to take measures to prevent irregularities in the presidential election.
 プーチン首相は、下院選のやり直しを拒否している。大統領選では不正防止策を講じると約束することで、切り抜ける構えだ。

As no powerful candidate has emerged from the opposition camp, Putin's strategy for returning to the Kremlin remains unshaken.
 野党側に有力候補者がいないため、プーチン首相の大統領返り咲き戦略は揺らいではいない。

===

Legal compliance vital

It is natural, however, that those in power must also comply with rules. Establishment of the full rule of law has been pending since the collapse of the former Soviet Union. Putin needs to face seriously the problems raised by the series of rallies and commit himself completely to the rule of law.
 だが、権力者にもルール順守が求められるのは当然だ。「法の支配」の確立は、ソ連崩壊以来の重要な課題だ。首相は、デモが提起した問題を重く受け止め、法治主義を徹底する必要があろう。

Putin faces challenges on the diplomatic front, too.
 プーチン首相は、対外政策でも課題に直面している。

He has put forth the idea of creating an "Eurasian Union" aimed at the economic integration of former Soviet republics. But these states have been deepening their relations with European countries and the United States, and remain strongly wary of Russia's attempt to take leadership.
 首相は、旧ソ連諸国の経済統合を図る「ユーラシア同盟」構想を提唱しているが、旧ソ連諸国は、欧米との関係を深めており、主導権を握ろうとするロシアへの警戒感が根強い。

After 18 years of negotiations, Russia will become an official member of the World Trade Organization next year. If it is to earnestly seek capital investment from the West, Moscow will be strongly urged to follow WTO rules and international business practices.
 また、18年もの交渉の末、世界貿易機関(WTO)へ、ロシアは来年正式加盟することになった。ロシアが西側の資本呼び込みを本気で図るつもりなら今後、WTOルールや国際的商慣行を順守することが強く求められよう。

(From The Yomiuri Shimbun, Dec. 26, 2011)
(2011年12月26日01時17分 読売新聞)

2011/12/27

香山リカのココロの万華鏡:いまどきの卒業論文 /東京

12月25日に朝日英字紙がいきなり有料となってから、毎日英字紙の存在価値がぐっと高まりました。
これからはジャパンタイムスや米国紙にも手を広げていきたいですね。
そういう意味では、今回の朝日英字紙の有料化は貴重なきっかけとなりました。
何が幸いし、また、何が災いするか分かったものではありませんね。
人間万事(ばんじ)塞翁(さいおう)が馬^^。

(スラチャイ)

(Mainichi Japan) December 25, 2011
Kaleidoscope of the Heart: Learning from the next generation
香山リカのココロの万華鏡:いまどきの卒業論文 /東京

Being both a psychiatrist and a university professor, December is always an exciting month for me -- it is this time of the year when my students submit their graduation theses.
 精神科医をしながら大学の教員もしている私にとって、卒業論文の提出がある12月は、ハラハラ、ドキドキの月。

There are some students who rush up to me at the very last moment, saying, "Professor, I can't make it on time," to whom I would say: "Hang in there, you're only a breath away." There are also the self-assured ones, who submit their "works of confidence," in which I later on find plenty of spelling mistakes that sometimes even frustrate me.
直前になって「先生、ダメです! 間に合いません」と泣きついてくる学生を、「大丈夫、あと一息!」と遠泳のコーチのように励ます。「自信作です」と見せに来る学生の論文に大量の誤字脱字を発見して、途方に暮れることもある。

However, as I read my students' works, I realize that there is quite a lot to learn from the way "today's young" think, write, and form their judgments.
 ただ、“いまどきの若者”の考え方や文章のまとめ方から、「なるほど」と学ぶことも多い。

Every year, what specifically amazes me is their computer and internet skills. As I read through their works, I often find myself wondering how they created such beautiful graphs or about the meaning of acronyms that I often see online, but never knew what they were for. On such occasions, I feel as if we are "exchanging knowledge," and things such as poor writing or lack of in-depth research stop bothering me.
とくにパソコンやネットの使い方には毎年、感心しつつ、「このきれいなグラフ、どうやって作るの?」「ネットでよく見るこの略語ってどういう意味?」とこちらもちゃっかり教えてもらう。そうすると“知識の交換”という気分になり、論文の文章のまずさや調べ方の甘さにもハラは立たなくなってくる、というものだ。

It is common for educators to criticize the next generation by saying that in the past students studied much more. However, this is only because we are comparing them to ourselves, based on standards that we lived through in our student days. There are things that students nowadays know and can do easily, which we in the past could not -- and I'm not only speaking of their use of computers and mobile phones.
 そう、教員をしているとつい「昔の学生はもっと勉強したものだ」などと嘆きたくなるが、それは自分たちを基準にしているからなのだ。実は、いまの学生には簡単なのに、昔の学生にはできなかったこと、知らなかったこともたくさんある。パソコンやケータイの使い方だけではない。

While for many people from my generation reading in English was common, but speaking was nearly impossible, young people these days openly speak to overseas students, using both Japanese and English with no evidence of embarrassment. They are also much more open to sexual and gender differences. It is somewhat more refreshing than surprising to hear someone say: "I like a person from the same sex," to which another person simply replies, "Oh, really?"
私の世代だと「英語の文献は読めるが話すのは苦手」という人も少なくないが、いまの学生は留学生がいてもものおじせずに、英語と日本語とを器用におりまぜコミュニケーションしている。性別、性差にもほとんどこだわりがなく、「私ね、同性の人が好きなんだよね」「あっそう」などと自由に会話している姿にも、ビックリを通り越してすがすがしさを覚える。

At parties, the old rule obliging women to pour drinks for men seems to not exist for many young people -- they act naturally and drink in the style that suits them.
コンパをしても「お酌は女性」などというルールはなく、ごく自然についだりつがれたり、好きなように飲んでいる。

As I watch the young people these days, I think that the traditional way of "measuring" knowledge and quality of graduation theses is, in fact, not that important.
 彼らを見ていると、昔ながらの尺度で測る「学力」だとか「論文のでき」など、実はたいしたことではないような気もしてくる。

There are times when part of me says, "A graduation thesis is not a personal essay, so writing in the first person is against the rules," while the other me says, "This personal essay-style thesis is so rich and sensitive, and extremely interesting."
「卒業論文はエッセーじゃないんだから、あまりに“私は、私は”と多用するのは規定違反……いやいや、あなたのこのエッセー調の論文は、感受性豊かですごくおもしろいね!」などという場面も少なくないのだ。

I will teach my students everything I know, and hope they would do the same for me. I don't want them to feel afraid of telling me, "Professor, you really don't know something like that?"
 学生たちにはこちらが知っていることをすべて教えてあげるから、学生たちも私にいろいろなことを教えてほしい。「先生、そんなことも知らないの?」と遠慮なく言ってほしい。

As a professor I always try to think in this way. However, at times I blurt out things like: "Really? You haven't read Hermann Hesse? When I was a student, I..." This bad habit seems to be a hard one to shake.
教員としてはいつもそう思っている私だが、それでもつい口にしてしまう。「なに、ヘルマン・ヘッセも読んだことがない? 私が学生の頃は……」。このクセはなかなかなおらないようだ。

(By Rika Kayama, psychiatrist)
毎日新聞 2011年12月20日 地方版

2011/12/26

放射能「新」基準 食の不安の拡大防止策が先だ

今朝、いつものように英字紙をチェックしていて唖然とした。
なんと本日12月25日より、朝日新聞の英語版は有料となっていた。
外国人向けに支払いはペイパルでなされる仕組みだ。

で、これ以降ですが、朝日関連の掲載はできません。
スラチャイ愛読の米国紙、タイの英字紙、全部無料です。
英文の質は朝日より、当然ですが、格段に高い。
あえて朝日英字紙を購入する人がいるのでしょうか^^。

(スラチャイ)

The Yomiuri Shimbun (Dec. 25, 2011)
New food safety rules require time for explanations, preparation
放射能「新」基準 食の不安の拡大防止策が先だ(12月24日付・読売社説)

Stricter limits on radiation in food are meant to make the public feel safe and secure--but what if they have the opposite effect?
 安心のための基準がかえって不安をあおることにならないか。

The government must be circumspect in its moves in this area.
政府は、慎重に対応すべきだ。

The Health, Labor and Welfare Ministry has worked out a set of proposals for new limits on radioactive cesium in food. Following exchanges of views within the government on the proposed standards, the ministry plans to put the new criteria into practice in April 2012.
 厚生労働省が、食品中に含まれる放射性セシウムの新たな規制値案をまとめた。政府内で調整後に、来年4月の導入を目指している。

Currently, "provisional regulatory ceilings" are in place as yardsticks for safe levels of radiation in food. The provisional ceilings were set immediately after the outbreak of the nuclear crisis at Tokyo Electric Power Co.'s Fukushima No. 1 power plant. The new ceilings proposed by the ministry are far stricter.
 今は、東京電力福島第一原子力発電所の事故直後に定められた「暫定規制値」を食品の安全確認の目安としている。新たな規制値案は、これより大幅に厳しい。

For instance, the proposal calls for a ceiling of 50 becquerels per kilogram for milk and baby food items, including baby formula. This is one-fourth the current 200-becquerel limit. The planned limit for general food items such as rice, meat and vegetables is 100 becquerels per kilogram, or one-fifth the current ceiling. The proposed limit on drinking water is 10 becquerels, which is one-twentieth the current 200-becquerel limit.
 例えば、粉ミルクなどの「乳児用食品」や「牛乳」は、暫定規制値の4分の1である1キロ・グラム当たり50ベクレルだ。その他の一般食品は5分の1の同100ベクレル、飲料水は20分の1の同10ベクレルとなる。

===

Risk of worsening anxiety

The ministry says the tightening of the limits is for the sake of "ensuring a sense of safety among the public." Specifically, the risk of "internal exposure to radiation affecting human bodies" would be reduced to less than one-fifth the risk under the provisional ceilings, according to the ministry.
 厚労省は、規制値を厳格化するのは「安心確保」のためと説明している。具体的には、食品を通じた「内部被曝(ひばく)」のリスクが今の5分の1以下になるという。

If the new ceilings proposed by the ministry are introduced, decisions on such matters as banning shipments of food would be made on the basis of the toughened criteria.
 導入後は、これに基づき出荷停止などが判断される。

Careful attention should be paid, however, to the possibility of stricter limits instead heightening the risk of social unease.
 しかし、規制値を厳しくすることで社会不安が高まるリスクも注意深く見極める必要があろう。

If the new criteria are enforced, there may be many cases in which food items with "safe" radiation levels under the current limits would be found to contain "excessive" levels of radioactive cesium. It is therefore feared that shipments of foodstuffs could be suspended one after another.
 暫定規制値で十分「安全」の範囲なのに、新規制値で「超過」と判定される例が想定される。出荷停止が続発しはしないか。

The current provisional ceilings are already markedly strict as they are one-half to one-fourth the regulatory limits in the United States and European countries. Because of this, the government and many experts have said in explaining the provisional ceilings that eating foods whose radiation readings are slightly above the provisional limits does not mean they are "dangerous" to health. Instead, they say, people can eat them without fear.
 現行の暫定規制値も、欧米の規制値の2分の1から4分の1程度と厳格だ。だから政府や専門家の多くは、規制値を多少超えた食品を口にしても、「危険」の域に入るのではなく心配は無用、と「解説」してきた経緯がある。

The health ministry, before implementation of the new ceilings, is set to seek understanding and cooperation from local governments and industries concerned about toughening the limits. For some categories of food, the ministry is considering taking "tentative steps," or measures to delay the application of new ceilings.
 厚労省は、新規制値導入に際して関係自治体、業界にも理解と協力を求める方針だ。食品によっては、新規制値の適用時期を遅らせる「経過措置」も検討する。

To measure radiation levels in accordance with the new ceilings, high-precision instruments capable of detecting radioactive cesium at a single-digit level of becquerels will be needed. Some industries may be unable to obtain such instruments immediately. The switch from the current ceilings to new ones, therefore, should be preceded by sufficient time to make preparations.
 新規制値に対応するには、微量のセシウムも測れる精密測定装置が要るが、直ちに準備できない業界もあるだろう。規制切り替えは時間をかけて進めるべきだ。

===

Cesium levels dwindling

In its studies of the advisability of introducing the new criteria, the ministry has conducted a series of sampling examinations of a wide range of foodstuffs to find how much radioactive cesium they contain.
 新規制値を検討するに当たり、厚労省は様々な食品にセシウムがどの程度含まれているか、抜き取り調査をしている。

According to the investigations, less than 1 percent of food items examined nationwide were found to contain radioactive cesium in excess of the provisional ceilings. Any foodstuffs with radioactive cesium exceeding the ceilings have been prohibited, in principle, from being put on the market.
 調査によれば、全国で、暫定規制値を超えた食品は全体の1%未満に過ぎない。暫定規制値を超過した食品は原則、流通しない。

Moreover, the number of cases in which radioactive cesium has been detected at levels below the provisional ceilings has been gradually shrinking, the ministry says. A fact that should be taken into account is that, due to the characteristics of radioactive material, the quantity of radioactive cesium in food is certain to decline by a wide margin in the year to come.
 それ以下の食品でも検出例は減る傾向にある。放射性物質の特質として、セシウム量が1年後に大幅に減ることも考慮したい。

It is very important for the government to provide detailed explanations of such matters to spread accurate information about food safety among the public.
 こうした状況を国民に丁寧に説明し、食の安全への正しい理解を広めることが、まず重要だ。

Government efforts to ensure the safety of foodstuffs in the process of their distribution must continue to be undertaken in a reliable way.
流通過程での安全確認も、確実に継続しなければならない。

(From The Yomiuri Shimbun, Dec. 24, 2011)
(2011年12月24日01時16分 読売新聞)

2011/12/25

八ッ場ダム 混乱と無策の果ての建設続行

「コンクリートから人へ」、二年前、この標語には新鮮な響きがありました。
ところが、3.11の大地震、大津波、原発事故で事情は一変しております。
学生時代に重力式ダムの設計をしたことがありますが、施工経験がありません。
黒部の太陽に代表されるように、ダム建設は男の中の男の仕事でした。
あこがれますね^^。単身赴任はダメです!家庭が崩壊します。
(スラチャイ)

The Yomiuri Shimbun (Dec. 24, 2011)
Yamba construction to restart after 2 years of meandering
八ッ場ダム 混乱と無策の果ての建設続行(12月23日付・読売社説)

After more than two years of turmoil, the government has finally settled the issue of whether to cancel or resume construction of the Yamba Dam in Gunma Prefecture.
 建設中止か続行かを巡り、2年あまり迷走したあげくの決着である。

Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism Minister Takeshi Maeda has at last decided to resume construction of the dam in Naganoharamachi. The government will earmark costs for building the main structure, funds for which had been frozen, in the fiscal 2012 budget.
 群馬県の八ッ場(やんば)ダムについて、前田国土交通相がようやく建設続行を決めた。これを受け、凍結していた本体工事の費用を2012年度予算案に盛り込むことになった。

The decision was based on a reexamination of the project by the ministry, in which it judged "construction of the dam is most desirable" in terms of flood control and water utilization effects as well as project costs.
 治水や利水効果、事業費などの面で「建設は最良」とする国交省の検証結果を踏まえた決定だ。

We think the decision is quite appropriate.
 極めて妥当な判断と言える。

The concept for the Yamba Dam project dates back about 60 years. It is designed to prevent floods in watershed areas of the Tonegawa river system and provide a water resource for the Kanto region. With a total construction cost of 460 billion yen, the dam will be one of largest in the country.
 約60年前に構想が持ち上がった八ッ場ダムは、利根川流域の洪水防止と関東圏の水源としての利用が目的で、総工費4600億円の国内最大級のダムである。

===

Maehara started turmoil

Under the slogan "from concrete to people," the Democratic Party of Japan included cancellation of the Yamba Dam project in its manifesto for the 2009 House of Representatives election, which brought about the DPJ-led administration.
 民主党は「コンクリートから人へ」を掲げ、09年衆院選の政権公約(マニフェスト)に八ッ場ダムの建設中止を盛り込んだ。

Seiji Maehara, now the DPJ's Policy Research Committee chair, became infrastructure minister after the 2009 election. Based on the manifesto's promise, he forcibly terminated the dam's construction without any consultation with local governments involved. That was the start of the turmoil.
 政権交代後、国交相に就任した民主党の前原政調会長が、マニフェストを理由に、地元との協議もなく強引に建設をストップしたのが迷走劇の発端だ。

In the face of strong opposition by residents and local governments, then Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism Minister Sumio Mabuchi in autumn 2010 effectively nullified Maehara's decision on the project. Subsequently, the ministry had been reexamining the project to decide whether the dam should be constructed.
 地元住民や関係自治体の反発を受け、10年秋には当時の馬淵国交相が中止を事実上棚上げした。その後、国交省が建設の可否を判断する検証作業を続けていた。

The DPJ has never come up with an alternative plan. Land ministers after Maehara just put off reaching a conclusion, bowing to the "manifesto-supremacism" within the party. This is nothing but political delinquency. The government as well as the DPJ must reflect seriously on their actions.
 民主党は代替案も示さず、歴代国交相は党内のマニフェスト至上主義に配慮し、結論を先送りしてきただけだ。これでは政治の怠慢以外の何物でもない。政府・民主党は、猛省すべきである。

Maehara bears a particular heavy responsibility.
 特に前原氏の責任は重い。

Although it was crystal clear there would be enormous side effects to canceling the construction, he did not accept the results of the ministry's reexamination of the project--which concluded construction is appropriate--to the end.
 建設中止の副作用が大きいことは明白だったのに、建設が妥当と結論付けた検証結果を最後まで受け入れようとしなかった。

"If the government forces the construction costs through in the budget, the party won't approve it. I won't let the Cabinet approve it," Maehara said Thursday. This is going too far. It is unbelievable that these are statements of the policy chief of the ruling party. He should not cause further turmoil.
 前原氏が「無理やり予算に入れるなら、党としては認めない。閣議決定させない」とまで述べたのは、行き過ぎだ。政権党の政策責任者の発言とは思えない。これ以上の混乱は避けるべきだ。

===

Residents made sacrifices

Years ago residents and local governments made a painful decision to accept the dam construction, and many residents moved from areas that were to be submerged under the planned dam lake. While the dam construction was up in the air, residents suffered more economic losses--a number of hot spring inns closed their doors, for example.
 地元は苦渋の決断でダム建設を受け入れ、水没予定地から大勢の住民が転居した。ダム建設が宙に浮く間、温泉旅館の休業が相次ぐなど新たな打撃も受けた。

If construction had actually been canceled, plans to revive areas around the dam as tourism spots might have been scrapped.
 このうえ建設中止となれば、ダム観光で再生を図る計画も頓挫しかねないところだった。

Already 80 percent of the total project costs have been spent on related works, such as construction of roads to replace ones that will become unusable. If the project had been axed, the government would have had to return funds to Tokyo and five other prefectures of the Tonegawa basin, which had paid out more than half of these costs.
 道路の付け替えなど関連事業に総事業費の8割がすでに投じられている。中止の場合、半分以上を支出した流域の1都5県に対し、政府が費用を返還しなければならなくなる問題もあった。

We do not think anyone in the DPJ can say the party fully took such factors into consideration while the party was creating the manifesto. The government needs to flexibly review policies if defects and misjudgments become clear. It must learn this lesson from the Yamba Dam issue.
 マニフェストを作成する段階でこうした事情を十分考慮したとは言えまい。欠陥や誤算が判明すれば、柔軟に見直す必要がある。八ッ場ダムから学ぶべき教訓だ。

(From The Yomiuri Shimbun, Dec. 23, 2011)
(2011年12月23日01時38分 読売新聞)

2011/12/24

クリスマスプレゼント

昨年の12月25日、クリスマスプレゼントとしてスラチャイ編集の辞書をプレゼントしました。(タイ日辞書、ラオ日辞書)

http://page.cafe.ocn.ne.jp/profile/srachai/diary/d1564


今年は、無料で楽しめるオンラインカジノゲームをプレゼントいたします。
ルーレット、スロットマシン、ブラックジャックを用意しました。



● 完全無料のルーレットゲームはこちらです。

http://sdin.jp/browser/casino/europeanroulette/





● 完全無料のスロットマシンはこちらです。

http://sdin.jp/browser/casino/slotmachine/





● 完全無料のブラックジャックはこちらです。

http://sdin.jp/browser/casino/blackjack/

一体改革―税制の全体像を描け

--The Asahi Shimbun, Dec. 22
EDITORIAL: Clock is ticking on tax reform to finance the future
一体改革―税制の全体像を描け

The tax debate among government and ruling party policymakers involved in the development of a draft plan for integrated tax and social security reform is coming to a head. This is an important process to secure financing of the social security reform plan recently drawn up by the government.
 社会保障と税の一体改革の素案づくりで、政府・与党の税制論議が正念場を迎えた。先にまとまった社会保障改革案の財源を確保する大切な作業だ。

The government and the ruling Democratic Party of Japan decided in June to gradually raise the consumption tax rate to 10 percent by the mid-2010s as part of the integrated reform. The first thing is to decide on specifics of the proposed consumption tax hike--the timing and scale of each of the tax increases.
 2010年代半ばまでに段階的に消費税率を10%まで引き上げる――まずは政府・与党が6月に決めたこの方針に沿って、いつ、何%ずつ引き上げるか、決めなければならない。

The ruling camp has made it clear that all the revenue from the consumption tax will be used to finance growing social security spending. This policy is based on the notion that the consumption tax, which everyone pays at the point of purchase, is suitable as a revenue source to fund the social security system, the principal social safety net based on mutual aid among all members of society.
 消費税は社会保障だけにあてる目的税とする。誰もが負担する消費税は、社会全体で支え合う社会保障の財源にふさわしいとの考えに基づく。

But raising the consumption tax rate to 10 percent alone will not put social security on a firm and sustainable financial footing.
 ただ、税率を10%に上げても社会保障が万全になるわけではない。

The government’s social security spending, including health care, pension, nursing care and child care benefits, will reach 108 trillion yen ($1.383 trillion) in fiscal 2011, which runs through March 2012.
医療や年金、介護、子育てなど社会保障の給付費は108兆円(11年度)。

Of that total, nearly 60 trillion yen is financed by social security premiums collected from taxpayers. The revenue from a 10-percent consumption tax is less than 30 trillion yen, while social security spending keeps growing by 3 trillion yen every year. The consumption tax hike now being discussed will only be one landmark in the long process of making the social security system financially sustainable.
保険料で60兆円近くをまかなうが、10%の消費税で得られる税収は30兆円に及ばない。給付は高齢化などで毎年3兆円ずつ増えていくだけに、議論中の消費増税も長い道のりの一里塚にすぎない。

That is why it is vital to start a serious and in-depth debate on taxes other than the consumption tax from the viewpoint of the future of the nation’s tax system.
 だからこそ、税制の将来像を見すえて、消費税以外の税も議論を深める必要がある。

The government has already decided to lower the effective corporate tax rate in response to intensifying international competition companies are facing. So the debate on the future of the tax system should focus on such key levies as income and inheritance taxes.
 法人税は国際競争の厳しさを考慮して実効税率の引き下げが決まっており、所得税や相続税が焦点となる。

One proposal would change the current six income tax brackets--ranging from 5 to 40 percent--and raise the top tax rate to 45 percent.
 所得税では、5~40%の6段階の税率区分を見直し、最高税率を45%に引き上げる案が出ている。

The government is also considering shrinking various tax deductions, which reduce the amount of income subject to tax.
課税の際に所得から差し引く各種の控除も、縮小の方向だ。

The draft bill for tax changes for the next fiscal year already includes a provision to impose a ceiling on the standard income deduction applied to corporate employees. This provision was first proposed as part of the tax changes for the current fiscal year but later dropped amid partisan confrontation at the Diet.
すでに来年度税制改正案には、サラリーマンに適用される給与所得控除に上限を設ける案が盛り込まれた。与野党の対立から、今年度の税制改正で実現しなかった案だ。

The state general-account budget is in dire straits, with the amount of government bond issues, or the government’s overall borrowing, exceeding the total tax revenue.
 国の一般会計は、借金である国債発行額が税収を上回る異常事態が続く。

It is now inevitable that the tax burden on high-income earners will be increased in addition to raising the consumption tax.
消費税の増税とともに、所得が多い人の負担を重くするのは避けられない。

But effective efforts should be made to avoid putting an excessive load on the working population, or people who bear the burden of swelling social security spending in an aging society.
 しかし、高齢社会を支える現役世代に過度の負担がかからないよう、気を配らなければならない。

It is also necessary to debate the question of what would be the best balance between premium payments for health-care, pension and nursing care programs and income tax payments.
医療、年金、介護の保険料負担と所得税とのバランスも議論する必要がある。

In planning an increase in the social security burden, the emphasis should be placed on taxation of assets.
 重視すべきは、資産への課税だろう。

Another proposal for fiscal 2011 tax changes that fell through would have reduced the basic deduction for the inheritance tax and lifted the top rate to 55 percent from 50 percent. This is a good place to start.
その柱となる相続税も今年度に成立しなかった案がある。基礎控除を縮小し、最高税率も50%から55%に引き上げる内容だ。これが出発点になる。

With economic inequality widening in this nation, it would make sense, also from the viewpoint of fairness, to increase the tax burden on people who have a significant amount of assets coming, for example, from a large inheritance from their parents.
 社会の格差が広がる中、親からまとまった財産を受け継いだりして資産を持つ人に、より負担を求めることは、公平性の観点からも望ましい。

The government and the ruling party first need to draw up a vision for the overall tax reform focused on the consumption tax. Then, they need to develop a specific plan and timetable for pushing through the reform.
 消費税を中心に据えながら税制の全体像を描く。どんな手順で改革を進めるか、素案を工程表づくりにつなげる。それが政府と与党の責務だ。

2011/12/23

日米外相会談 「核」「拉致」進展へ協力強化を

The Yomiuri Shimbun (Dec. 22, 2011)
Beef up international cooperation on nuclear, abduction issues
日米外相会談 「核」「拉致」進展へ協力強化を(12月21日付・読売社説)

We hope the change of leadership in North Korea will be a chance to resolve the long-pending issues of that country's nuclear development program and abduction of Japanese nationals.
 北朝鮮の指導者の交代を、核開発と日本人拉致問題という長年の懸案を解決するための足がかりとしたい。

During their meeting in Washington on Monday, Foreign Minister Koichiro Gemba and U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton agreed it was important to ensure that the death of North Korean leader Kim Jong Il did not negatively affect peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula.
 玄葉外相とクリントン米国務長官がワシントンで会談し、北朝鮮の金正日総書記の死去について「朝鮮半島における平和と安定に悪影響を与えないことが重要だ」との認識で一致した。

Gemba and Clinton also agreed that the two countries would cooperate and promote information-sharing with other countries concerned, including South Korea, China and Russia.
 日米両国が韓国、中国、ロシアなど関係国と情報共有を進め、協調することでも合意した。

Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda and U.S. President Barack Obama spoke on the phone Tuesday and confirmed that their two countries would work together toward stabilization of the Korean Peninsula.
 野田首相とオバマ大統領も電話で、朝鮮半島の安定化へ日米両国が連携することを確認した。

The immediate common interest for not only Japan and the United States but also the other countries concerned, including China and South Korea, is ensuring that unpredictable events such as a coup d'etat or military provocation do not happen in North Korea. Close, multilayered cooperation is needed among the countries concerned.
 当面、北朝鮮でのクーデターや軍事的挑発など、不測の事態を招かないようにすることが、日米だけでなく、中韓両国を含む関係国の共通の利益だ。各国の緊密かつ重層的な協力が求められる。

===

Give up nuclear ambition

From a medium- and long-range perspective, it is essential to convey to Kim's successor Kim Jong Un and other leaders of the new North Korean regime that relinquishing its nuclear ambition is indispensable to reconstructing the battered economy. The countries concerned must lead North Korea in that direction.
 中長期的には、金総書記の後継者の金正恩氏ら新指導部に対し、疲弊した経済の再建には核放棄が欠かせないことを伝え、その方向に誘導することが肝要となる。

The key element in this area could be cooperation with China, which exerts influence over North Korea through food and energy assistance.
 重要なのは、食糧やエネルギー支援を通じて北朝鮮に影響力を及ぼしている中国との連携だ。

Tokyo and Washington must hold consultative talks with Beijing to devise concrete strategies on how to work on Pyongyang.
 いかに北朝鮮に働きかけるか、日米は中国と協議し、具体的な戦略を練らねばならない。

Recent U.S.-North Korea talks saw a certain degree of progress on food assistance and halting uranium enrichment activities. It will be important for the countries concerned to move in step with each other toward the next round of U.S.-North Korea talks, which may be held as soon as early January, and the six-nation talks on the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula to be held afterward.
 最近の米朝協議では、食糧支援とウラン濃縮活動の停止に関する交渉が一定程度進んでいた。年明け以降の次回協議と、その後の6か国協議に向けて、関係国の足並みをそろえることが大切だ。

===

Tripartite dialogue significant

In his meeting with Clinton, Gemba proposed creating a framework for dialogue involving Tokyo, Washington and Beijing, and Clinton concurred. China is wary of such a move, but tripartite dialogue would have great significance for peace and prosperity in Asia. Strenuous efforts are needed to achieve that goal.
 外相会談では、玄葉外相が日米中3か国の対話の枠組みを作ることを提案し、クリントン長官も賛同した。中国は慎重だが、日米中の対話はアジアの平和と繁栄にとって大きな意味を持つ。粘り強く実現を追求したい。

For Japan, moving forward on the deadlocked abduction issue is a top priority.
 日本にとっては、膠着(こうちゃく)状態にある拉致問題を前に動かすことも、最重要の課題である。

There have been no negotiations on the issue since September 2008, when North Korea unilaterally broke its promise to reinvestigate the abductees' cases.
 北朝鮮が2008年9月に拉致被害者の再調査の約束を一方的に反故(ほご)にして以来、日朝協議は一度も開かれていない。

In the Washington meeting, Gemba also sought U.S. cooperation in resolving the abduction issue. His request reflected expectations among the families of abductees that Kim's death will contribute to progress toward a resolution.
 玄葉外相は会談で、拉致問題への米国の協力を要請した。金総書記死去が拉致問題の進展の契機となることを期待する被害者家族らの声を踏まえたものだ。

If progress is made on the nuclear issue, it is also possible regarding the abductions. There used to be differences in the level of interest regarding a solution among Japan and its allies the United States and South Korea. But in recent years Washington and Seoul have consistently supported Japan's position on the matter. So the international environment is not unfavorable for Japan.
 核問題が進めば、拉致問題も動く可能性がある。拉致問題では従来、米韓両国と日本の間に温度差もあったが、最近、両国は日本の立場を一貫して支持しており、国際環境は悪くない。

Of course, we cannot be too optimistic when it comes to North Korea. But now is the time for the government to make utmost efforts to work toward resolving the abduction issue.
 無論、北朝鮮に対して楽観は禁物だが、政府は今こそ、拉致問題の前進に最大限努力すべきだ。

(From The Yomiuri Shimbun Dec. 21, 2011)
(2011年12月21日01時17分 読売新聞)

2011/12/22

金正日総書記死去―混乱回避へ各国は協調を

--The Asahi Shimbun, Dec. 20
EDITORIAL: Cooperation needed to prevent chaos in Pyongyang
金正日総書記死去―混乱回避へ各国は協調を

North Korean leader Kim Jong Il has died.
 金正日総書記が死去した。

Under Kim's rule, North Korea developed nuclear weapons, ignoring international rules. Its economy is in tatters, with people suffering from acute food shortages. The country also abducted many Japanese citizens and still repeatedly violates human rights. Its government strictly controls the information made available to the public.
 世界のルールを無視して核を開発する。経済は苦境にあり、食糧も足りない。日本人を拉致し、人権侵害を繰り返す。国民への情報は厳しく統制する。

Kim was a dictator who held absolute power in this outlandish and outrageous country.
 そんな異様な国、北朝鮮ですべての権力を握っていた独裁者だった。

It is still unclear how the transition of power will play out in the secluded nation. But there is no doubt that Kim's death offers an opportunity for North Korea to change itself dramatically. At the same time, however, it creates a precarious situation that could throw the nation into serious turmoil.
 後継体制がどう動き出すのかは、まだわからない。だが、北朝鮮そのものが大きく変わり得る機会であるとともに、国内が一気に動揺する恐れもある事態であることは確かだ。

There have been no signs of unsettling developments in the country, at least so far.
 今のところ、不穏な動きは見えないようだが、

But South Korea and the United States have put their armed forces on emergency alert. Japan and other countries concerned should work in close cooperation in dealing with any situation that may arise following the dictator's death.
韓国は米軍とともに非常警戒態勢に入った。日本をはじめ関係国は、緊密な連携を図らねばならない。

It seems that Kim died suddenly. According to local media, he suffered a heart attack on a special train as he was traveling to the country during an "on-site guidance" tour, a practice that was introduced by his father, Kim Il Sung, who founded the country after the end of World War II.
 急死だったようだ。父の金日成主席をまねた「現地指導」と呼ばれる地方視察に向かう特別列車内で、心筋梗塞(こうそく)を起こしたという。

Three generations of hereditary rule
■異様な3代世襲

Kim was long one of the world's most enigmatic leaders.
 世界で長く「謎の多い指導者」の筆頭格だった。

He was chosen as the successor to his father in a secret meeting of the Korean Worker's Party in 1974 and appeared in public for the first time in the party convention in 1980.
 1974年の朝鮮労働党の秘密会で後継者に決まり、80年の党大会で初めて公に姿を現した。

Kim solidified his grip on power by taking advantage of his father's powerful backing and established a dictatorship based on a personality cult like that of a feudal dynasty.
父の威を借りて権力を掌握していき、個人崇拝の封建王朝のような独裁を敷いた。

Kim drastically changed his image as a leader who remains behind the scenes through a series of high-profile diplomatic actions he started taking in 2000.
 「表に出ない指導者」像を一変させたのが、2000年からの一連の首脳外交だった。

As a starter, he met with then South Korean President Kim Dae-jung in the first summit between the leaders of the two Koreas. His spirited exchanges were televised and immediately earned the North Korean leader a reputation as a person well informed about international affairs. Kim Jong Il also met with the leaders of both China and Russia, as well as a U.S. Secretary of State. He held talks with then Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi twice.
 韓国の金大中大統領と初の南北首脳会談を持ち、画面に流れる丁々発止のやり取りから、一躍、世界情勢に通じた人物とされた。中国やロシアの首脳、米国務長官とも会い、小泉首相とは2回会談した。

Kim's diplomacy was described as "brinkmanship diplomacy" or "saber-rattling diplomacy" because he used his nuclear and missile programs as leverage to extract concessions from other countries.
 外交はもっぱら、核兵器開発やミサイルを武器にした危うい手法で、「瀬戸際外交」「恫喝(どうかつ)外交」とも言われた。

Kim also started diplomatic efforts to build a formal relationship with the United States and revive his country's dilapidated economy as a way to maintain his autocratic regime. But he died before achieving the goals.
 みずからの体制護持を目的とした、米国との関係構築と経済再生は、道半ばに終わった。

His third son, Kim Jong Un, has been groomed as his anointed successor.
 後継の指導者に三男の金正恩氏が座ることは既定路線だ。

The younger Kim may not assume the official leadership posts held by his father until after the period of national mourning expires.
 正式な後継ポスト就任は、まだ先の喪明けになるかもしれない。

But the dictator's son is likely to attain supreme power as a third-generation hereditary ruler--a striking anomaly in a country that claims to stand for socialist principles.
だが、社会主義を標榜(ひょうぼう)する国で、特異すぎる3代世襲が実現しそうだ。

The process of the transition of power to Kim Jong Un, who has yet to turn 30, began only three years ago when his father suffered a stroke.
 まだ30歳前の金正恩氏は、3年前に父が脳卒中で倒れてから後継体制づくりが本格化したばかりだ。

In stark contrast, Kim Jong Il had some 20 years to solidify his position as the successor to his father.
約20年間かけて先々代から権力を着実に引き継いだ先代とは事情が違う。

It is probably reasonable to assume that the nation will be under de facto collective leadership for the time being. A group of close aides will support the younger Kim's rule behind the scenes while ensuring that the new leader will stand at center stage.
 おそらく、金正恩氏を表舞台で立てつつ、側近陣が支える事実上の集団指導で進むと考えるのが自然だろう。

We cannot, of course, tolerate North Korea's nuclear tests and test-firing of ballistic missiles. We also cannot overlook Pyongyang's attempt to intimidate the international community by suddenly launching an artillery attack on a neighboring country. We are opposed to the country's system of keeping a close watch on citizens and sending anyone it doesn't like to dreadful concentration camps.
 もちろん、私たちは核実験や弾道ミサイルの発射実験をする姿勢は許せない。いきなり隣国に砲撃を加えて国際社会を威嚇することも看過できない。住民を監視し、過酷な収容所に送るような体制にも反対だ。

Road map to get rid of North Korea's nukes
■核廃棄の道筋を

The demise of the dictator should not be allowed to unsettle North Korea and destabilize surrounding areas.
 独裁者の喪失で北朝鮮が動揺し、周辺が不安定になってもいけない。

Is it possible that Kim's death will trigger a fierce power struggle within the military or among the party elite during the period of transition?
 後継体制への移行期に、軍や党のエリート内で金総書記死去を機に権力争いが激しくならないか。

It has long been assumed that North Koreans, despite their deep anger and resentment over their destitution and the regime's tight control on their lives, are unable to organize themselves because of close mutual surveillance. But is it possible now that people in the country will put up organized resistance against the regime and flee the country as refugees in droves?
困窮と規制に不満を募らせつつも、厳しい相互監視のために組織化できないとされてきた住民たちが抵抗し、難民として大挙して流出するような事態に陥らないか。

Such confusion must be averted at any cost.
 こうした混乱は何としても避けねばならない。

The big question now is whether North Korea will make serious efforts to improve its relations with neighboring countries in order to attain economic and social stability at home.
 そのうえで、北朝鮮が経済と社会の安定を図って、周辺国との関係改善に、真摯(しんし)に臨むのかどうか。それが当面の大きな課題になる。

To tackle the formidable challenges it is facing, North Korea needs to shift its foreign policy toward cooperation with other countries and change itself into a country that respects international rules and follows common sense.
 課題を解くには、まず北朝鮮が対外協調にかじを切り替え、「常識の通ずる国」に変わらなければならない。

The international community has an important role to play in leading Pyongyang in the right direction. In dealing with this erratic nation, other countries should put the priority on ensuring that the nuclear materials produced and stockpiled by the regime will be strictly controlled to prevent their proliferation.
 同時に、国際社会の役割も大きい。北朝鮮が開発し貯(た)めている核物質を厳重に管理し、拡散させないことを最優先に対応すべきだ。

First of all, the six-party talks that have mapped out a plan for North Korea to abandon its nuclear ambitions should be put back on track. Then, concrete steps should be taken according to the plan.
 まずは、核放棄の道筋を描いた6者協議を再び軌道に乗せる。そして実際の行動を積み重ねていくことだ。

The issue of North Korea's development of nuclear weapons has gained more urgency as the country has admitted to enriching uranium.
 北朝鮮の核問題は、ウラン濃縮が新たに加わって、危機がより高まっている。

Kim Jong Il died just when the United States and North Korea were beginning to take the first step toward breaking the current impasse. But this window of opportunity should be taken to resume talks over Pyongyang's nuclear ambition.
米国と北朝鮮が状況を動かす端緒をつかみかけた段階での総書記死去だったが、核協議の再開へつなげていく必要がある。

Solving the abduction issue
■拉致解決の糸口探れ

Cooperation among the countries concerned is crucial for preventing confusion in North Korea.
 北朝鮮の混乱回避にも、関係国の協調が欠かせない。

China is North Korea's largest ally, while the United States holds the key to the country's national security.
 中国は北朝鮮の最大の後ろ盾であり、米国は北朝鮮の安全保障の鍵を握っている。

Russia is raising its economic profile in the Far East, while South Korea, which is pursuing a vision of future unification of the Korean Peninsula, is directly affected by what is happening in the North. All the countries concerned should work together in dealing with North Korea through a combination of pressure and dialogue.
 ロシアは経済的にも極東で存在感を強め、韓国は朝鮮半島の将来的な統一も視野に入れた当事者だ。各国が歩調を合わせて、圧力と対話を組み合わせ、北朝鮮と向き合うことだ。

Japan, also a victim of Pyongyang's abduction of foreign nationals, has a direct interest in peace and stability in the region.
 日本ももちろん、この地域の平和と安定に直接かかわる。そして拉致の被害者でもある。

North Korea has made no serious effort to honor its promise three years ago to carry out a fresh investigation on the fate of Japanese citizens it abducted decades ago. There has been no progress either in the talks between Tokyo and Pyongyang toward establishing a formal diplomatic relationship.
 北朝鮮が3年前に約束した拉致被害者の再調査も、国交正常化に向けた日朝協議も全く進んでいない。

Japan should develop a new strategy to find a way to make real progress toward a solution of the abduction issue.
総書記の死去を契機に、拉致問題の進展を図る糸口をつかむ戦略を立てなければならない。

Japan needs to prepare itself to make flexible and bold responses to any significant changes that might happen in North Korea.
 北朝鮮の変化に、柔軟かつ大胆に動く備えと知恵が必要だ。

2011/12/21

日韓首脳会談 慰安婦で安易な妥協は禁物だ

The Yomiuri Shimbun (Dec. 20, 2011)
Don't make easy compromise on 'comfort women' issue
日韓首脳会談 慰安婦で安易な妥協は禁物だ(12月19日付・読売社説)

Japan absolutely must refrain from making an easy compromise on the issue of so-called comfort women.
 いわゆる従軍慰安婦の問題で、日本が安易な妥協を図ることは、厳に慎む必要がある。

Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda met with South Korean President Lee Myung Bak in Kyoto on Sunday.
 野田首相と韓国の李明博大統領が京都で会談した。

During their talks, the president sought the prime minister's "decision" on the issue, insisting that resolving it should be given priority while some former comfort women are still alive.
大統領は慰安婦問題について、元慰安婦が生きている間に「優先的に解決すべきだ」と述べ、「首相の決断」を求めた。

The prime minister reiterated Japan's position that the issue had been legally settled but called for using wisdom from a humanitarian standpoint.
 首相は、賠償問題は法的に解決済みとする一方、「人道的な見地から知恵を絞ろう」と語った。

The president apparently brought up the comfort women issue with a view to recent developments in his country, such as a stiffening of public sentiment after South Korea's constitutional court ruled that it was unconstitutional for the government not to make an effort to have Japan pay compensation to the comfort women.
 大統領が慰安婦問題を提起したのは、韓国政府に解決への努力を求める憲法裁判所の決定や韓国世論の硬化などの事情があろう。

===

Already a settled matter

However, Japan and South Korea already signed a bilateral accord stating that the right to demand wartime compensation had been "fully and finally settled" when the two countries normalized diplomatic ties in 1965.
 だが、戦時中などの賠償請求権問題については、既に1965年の日韓国交正常化の際、「完全かつ最終的に解決された」との国際協定を締結している。

The government must firmly maintain this position. The issue involves recognizing the facts of history. So, even if Japan were to take half measures from a "humanitarian standpoint," it would be difficult to satisfy South Korea and would only be likely to further complicate the problem.
 政府は、この立場を堅持すべきだ。歴史認識にもかかわる問題であり、仮に「人道的な見地」から中途半端な措置を取っても、韓国側を満足させることは困難で、問題を複雑化するだけだろう。

More problematic is the South Korean government's tacit approval of a South Korean private organization setting up a statue of a girl symbolizing comfort women in front of the Japanese Embassy in Seoul.
 むしろ問題は、韓国の民間団体がソウルの日本大使館前に慰安婦を象徴する少女像を設置し、韓国政府が黙認していることだ。

In their meeting, Noda requested of Lee that the statue be removed as soon as possible. But the president objected, saying that unless Japan takes sincere measures, another statue will be added every time a former comfort woman dies.
 野田首相は会談で、少女像の早期撤去を要請した。大統領は「日本の誠意ある措置がなければ、元慰安婦が亡くなるたびに、第2、第3の銅像が建てられるだろう」などと反論した。

South Korea's argument makes no sense. The Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations stipulates that "the receiving State is under a special duty to take all appropriate steps...to prevent any disturbance of the peace of the mission or impairment of its dignity."
 この韓国側の主張はおかしい。外交関係に関するウィーン条約は、外交公館の「安寧の妨害または威厳の侵害を防止する適当な措置」を取る「特別の責務」が受け入れ国にある、と定めている。

The Japanese government believes the South Korean government's tacit approval of the statue violates the convention. Noda was quite right to demand the statue's removal. The Japanese government must tenaciously urge the South Korean side to remove it.
 日本政府は、少女像設置の黙認は条約違反とみている。首相の主張は当然だ。今後も、粘り強く撤去を促さねばならない。

===

Other important topics sidelined

The comfort women issue wound up taking a conspicuously long time in the bilateral summit meeting, which failed to deepen discussions on other important issues. The South Korean side is responsible for this result.
 会談で慰安婦問題が突出し、他の重要議題の議論が深まらなかった原因は、韓国側にある。

However, it is also important to keep the comfort women issue from causing the Japan-South Korea relationship to stagnate.
ただ、慰安婦問題が、日韓関係を停滞させるのを避けることも重要だ。

As for the stalled negotiations on the economic partnership agreement between the two countries, Noda called for accelerating discussions to resume the talks as soon as possible, but the president did not give a positive response.
 中断している経済連携協定(EPA)交渉について野田首相は、早期再開へ議論を加速させることを提案したが、大統領から前向きな回答はなかった。

Apparently wary of a further increase in its trade deficit with Japan, South Korea remains cautious about resuming the negotiations. However, if Japan moves forward by boldly opening its market, it will benefit both countries quite a lot.
 韓国は、対日赤字の拡大を警戒し、交渉再開に慎重だ。だが、日本が大胆な市場開放に踏み出せば互いに得るものは大きい。

If Japan and South Korea fail to keep in step with each other on issues involving North Korea, such as its nuclear development program and abduction of Japanese nationals, it could only benefit North Korea.
 北朝鮮の核と拉致の問題も、日韓の足並みが乱れれば、北朝鮮を利する展開になりかねない。

The two countries should cooperate on economic and security issues from a broader viewpoint to steadily move forward on various problems.
 日韓双方が大局的見地から経済や安全保障問題で協力し、着実に前進させることが求められる。

(From The Yomiuri Shimbun, Dec. 19, 2011)
(2011年12月19日01時10分 読売新聞)

2011/12/20

米イラン制裁 懸念される原油取引への影響

The Yomiuri Shimbun (Dec. 19, 2011)
U.S. sanctions on Iran likely to affect Japan most
米イラン制裁 懸念される原油取引への影響(12月18日付・読売社説)

Iran has refused to comply with the international community's demands that the country prove it is not developing nuclear weapons. It is unavoidable for other nations to pressure Iran to reconsider its stance by strengthening sanctions.
 核兵器開発疑惑の解明を拒むイランに、国際社会が制裁強化の圧力をかけて翻意を促すのは当然のことだ。

However, if sanctions are introduced incorrectly, they could have a negative impact on other countries, including Japan, which imports oil from Iran.
 だが制裁のやり方を誤れば、イラン原油を輸入する日本などへの悪影響も懸念される。

We should carefully and thoroughly study the impact of the new U.S. sanctions on Iran, which were recently approved by Congress.
 米議会が可決したイランへの追加制裁案の効果については、慎重な見極めが必要である。

The sanctions, which were included in an annual U.S. defense authorization bill, limit dollar-based transactions between U.S. financial institutions and those in foreign countries, including Japan, which engage in transactions with the Central Bank of Iran.
 制裁は、イラン中央銀行と金融取引する日本など外国金融機関に、米金融機関とのドル取引を制限するという内容で、国防権限法案に盛り込まれた。

The sanctions will come into effect six months after U.S. President Barack Obama signs the bill into law.
オバマ大統領の署名で成立し、半年の猶予期間を経て発効するという。

The Central Bank of Iran is in charge of settling accounts for the nation's oil trade.
Therefore, it plays a crucial economic role as oil accounts for about 80 percent of the country's exports.
 イラン中銀は、イランの輸出総額の8割を占める原油取引の決済にあたる中枢機関だ。

If foreign banks stop doing business with the central bank to avoid being targeted by U.S. sanctions, it will be difficult for Iran to export oil.
米国の制裁対象になることを恐れて外国銀行がイラン中銀との取引を中止すれば、原油輸出は困難になる。

This is the aim of the United States--to prevent funds accrued from oil exports from being used to develop nuclear weapons.
 米国はこれにより、核開発資金への転用阻止を狙っている。

===

Negative effects of sanctions

However, if Iranian oil supplies decline due to the U.S. sanctions, international oil prices are likely to jump.
 しかし、制裁でイランの原油供給量が滞り、原油の国際価格の高騰を招く恐れもある。

The sanctions will be meaningless if the oil price increase benefits Iran or cools down the world economy.
その結果、イランが潤ったり、世界経済が冷え込んだりする事態を招けば、制裁は意味を失う。

What is more disconcerting is the influence sanctions could have on Japan, which is Iran's second-largest oil export partner after China.
 さらに気がかりなのは、イランにとって、中国に次ぐ第2位の原油輸出先である日本への影響だ。

About 10 percent of Japan's total oil imports come from Iran.
日本は総輸入原油の1割程度をイランから調達している。

Among U.S. allies, the sanctions are likely to affect Japan the most.
米の追加制裁によって、同盟国では最も甚大な影響を被る可能性がある。

If sanctions are imposed, Japan could be doubly hit by difficulty in procuring oil and high oil prices. This would hinder rebuilding the nation from the aftermath of the March 11 disaster. Our economy also may slow down.
 原油の調達不安に価格高騰が重なれば、震災復興に支障が出るし、経済も冷え込もう。

According to reports, some exemptions are permitted, such as removing foreign financial institutions from the sanctions list if they meet certain conditions. The U.S. president also is authorized to refrain from imposing sanctions for security reasons.
 制裁案には、一定の条件を満たした外国金融機関を制裁対象から外す特例措置や、安全保障の観点から制裁発動を避ける大統領権限が設けられているという。

The government must closely liaise with the U.S. administration and draw up measures to avoid Japan's oil imports being affected by the U.S. sanctions.
 政府は、原油輸入に支障が出ないよう、米国と緊密に協議し、万策を講じなければならない。

Other countries share similar concerns, such as South Korea--which imports about 10 percent of its oil imports from Iran--Greece, Italy, Spain and other European countries.
 イランに輸入原油の1割を依存している韓国や、イタリアやスペイン、ギリシャなど一部の欧州諸国も事情は同じだ。
The Obama administration needs to implement the sanctions carefully.
オバマ政権は、追加制裁の運用に際して慎重な配慮をすべきである。

===

China's reactions key

We also need to keep an eye on Beijing's moves in relation to the U.S. sanctions, as China is the largest importer of Iranian oil.
 注視したいのは、イランにとって最大の原油輸出先である中国の出方だ。

China has been critical of imposing any sanctions on Iran.
中国は、制裁自体に否定的だ。

If the U.S.-China relationship becomes strained because of the new sanctions, it will become more difficult to form an international coalition against Iran.
追加制裁をめぐり米中関係が緊張すれば、対イラン包囲網の形成はますます難しくなる。

Iran is expanding its uranium enrichment activities after ignoring four U.N. Security Council resolutions imposing sanctions on that country.
 イランは、国連安全保障理事会の4度にわたる制裁決議を無視して、ウラン濃縮活動を拡大している。

The United States, China and other permanent members of the Security Council should double their diplomatic efforts to prevent Iran from possessing nuclear weapons.
核兵器保有を許さぬよう、米中など安保理常任理事国は外交努力を倍加すべきである。

(From The Yomiuri Shimbun, Dec. 18, 2011)
(2011年12月18日01時10分 読売新聞)

2011/12/19

社会保障改革案 負担増求める施策を避けるな

タイの医療費は個人で全額負担ですが、タイは医療費、薬価が安いのでやっていけるのです。
日本では医療費、薬価ともに高すぎるので10%、20%の個人負担分でも、タイの全額負担よりきついくらいのものなのです。要するに、日本の医療費、薬価は高すぎるということで、問題の本質はここにあるのです。

日本の老人たちは、病院で世間話しをするのが唯一の楽しみみたいな印象を受けますが、本来病院はそのような場所ではないはずです。世界に名だたる皆保険制度の弊害だと思います。自由化すべきです。

集客のためにディスカウントセールをして、後からそれは間違っていたから差額分を帰せって理論です。
ソクラテスは「法は悪法であっても守らなければならない」といって自ら毒をあおって天国へと旅立ったのです。
前回のが悪法なら今回の切り下げも悪法だと思います。
守らなければなりませんね^^。
(スラチャイ)

The Yomiuri Shimbun (Dec. 18, 2011)
Govt, DPJ must not shy away from increasing public burden
社会保障改革案 負担増求める施策を避けるな(12月17日付・読売社説)

Can progress be made on social security and tax reform by putting off decisions on such key issues as asking the public to accept higher tax burdens and lower pension benefits?
 国民に負担増や給付減を求める改革を軒並み見送ることで、改革は前進するだろうか。

The Democratic Party of Japan's research council on integrated reform of the social security and taxation systems and the DPJ Tax System Research Committee held a joint meeting Friday. The meeting approved an outline of the social security-related portion of a draft of overall reform plans that is scheduled to be worked out before the end of the year.
 民主党の「社会保障と税の一体改革調査会」と「税制調査会」が合同総会を開き、年内にもまとめる一体改革大綱素案のうち、社会保障分野に関する骨子を了承した。

The social security reform outline will likely be formally authorized by the government in a meeting early next week of five related Cabinet ministers.
 週明けの関係5閣僚会合で、正式に政府案となる見通しだ。

It is praiseworthy that the joint meeting of the two key DPJ panels reached an accord to take concrete steps to rectify the overpayment of pension benefits, a question that has been pending since before the change of government that brought the DPJ to power in 2009.
 政権交代前から懸案だった「年金特例水準」の解消に踏み切った点は評価できる。

Pension payouts are designed to fluctuate, in principle, in accordance with ups and downs in consumer prices. When the Liberal Democratic Party and New Komeito were in power, however, the government left payouts at the same level despite declines in prices.
 年金額は原則として物価の変動に応じて上下するが、自公政権当時に物価が下落したのに年金額は据え置かれた。

===

Don't avoid benefit cuts

As a result of the extraordinary measure to avoid cutting payouts, current pension payments are about 2.5 percent higher than they should be.
 この特例措置により、年金額は本来より2・5%高い。

The overpayment for the last 10 years may be as high as 7 trillion yen.
約10年の累計で7兆円もの「払い過ぎ」が生じている。

According to the outline, pension benefits will be lowered in stages to a level considered appropriate over three years, starting in October 2012.
 骨子では、来年10月から3年かけて、年金額を本来の水準まで段階的に引き下げるとした。

To be exact, the planned adjustment of pension payouts should not be referred to as "reducing" pension benefits, but just returning benefits to a right and proper level.
 だが、これは正確には給付減ではなく、過払い分を適正額に戻すに過ぎない。

The outline also covers a wide range of measures for improving social security plans, such as an additional basic pension payment to elderly people in low income brackets and greater government support for child rearing. It rightly says many of these steps will be put into force "from the fiscal year when the consumption tax rate is raised."
 骨子はまた、低所得の高齢者に基礎年金を加算することや、子育て支援策の充実については、多くに「消費税率引き上げ年度から実施する」と条件を付けた。

No policy measure can be implemented without securing a source of revenue to fund it.
 財源の手当てなしに施策は実行できない。

Changing the social security system and raising the consumption tax are inseparably intertwined, and the DPJ and the government are urged to specify without delay when and by how much the 5 percent consumption tax will be hiked.
社会保障制度の手直しと消費税率引き上げは不可分であり、間を置かず、引き上げ幅と時期も明確に示すのが筋だろう。

The problem, however, is that the outline, while mentioning an array of measures to boost social security services, hardly refers to reforms that would require a greater burden on the public and cuts in benefits.
 問題は、拡充策が並ぶ一方で、負担増・給付減を求める改革がほとんど見当たらないことだ。

Regarding the current medical care system for people aged 70 to 74--under which they pay 10 percent of their overall medical bills from their own pocket at medical facilities--the plan to raise the percentage to the originally intended 20 percent was shelved during discussions at the joint meeting.
 暫定的に1割に据え置かれている70~74歳の医療費窓口負担を本来の2割に戻す案は見送られた。

To keep the current practice unchanged, the government is poised to earmark 200 billion yen in a supplementary budget to keep the system going in fiscal 2012.
2000億円の補正予算を組んで来年度も実施する。

===

Strong resolve crucial

Also pigeonholed was a reform plan to collect 100 yen from outpatients every time they visit a medical facility to secure funds to lower the financial burden of those who must pay for costly medical treatment.
 医療費が高額になる人の負担軽減にあてる目的で、外来に1回かかるごとに100円を徴収する改革案なども断念した。

In the draft the government and the ruling coalition parties mapped out in June for social security reform in tandem with taxation reform, it was envisioned that nearly 1.2 trillion yen in government spending would be trimmed through such steps as curbs on social security benefits. Meanwhile, revenues would be increased by about 2.7 trillion yen through a consumption tax hike.
 6月に政府・与党がまとめた一体改革案では、給付の抑制などで1・2兆円近く節約し、約2・7兆円を消費税率の引き上げで賄う計算になっていた。

It is highly doubtful whether the outline approved in the joint meeting of the DPJ panels is compatible with the June draft.
これと整合性がとれるのかどうか疑問だ。

It is hardly possible to make ends meet in social security services unless the DPJ and the government give priority to boosting the efficiency of the entire social security system by curbing benefits.
 制度を一層効率化し、給付を抑制する視点も持たなければ、帳尻は合わないだろう。

The government and the ruling coalition parties are scheduled to enter last-ditch discussions next week about the wisdom of raising the consumption tax.
 政府・与党は、来週から、消費税率引き上げの大詰めの議論に入る。

They must be candid enough to squarely seek the public's understanding of the need to accept greater burdens that are deemed essential.
国民に対して、必要な負担増はきちんと求める必要がある。

Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda and DPJ executives must have strong resolve in winning over opponents of a higher consumption tax, thus concluding the issue within the year as the prime minister has pledged.
 野田首相と民主党幹部は、断固とした姿勢で消費税増税への反対派を説得し、公約通り、年内に結論を出さねばならない。

(From The Yomiuri Shimbun, Dec. 17, 2011)
(2011年12月17日01時31分 読売新聞)

2011/12/18

イラク戦争終結 米軍撤収後も山積する課題

The Yomiuri Shimbun (Dec. 17, 2011)
Piles of problems left in Iraq after withdrawal of U.S. forces
イラク戦争終結 米軍撤収後も山積する課題(12月16日付・読売社説)

Eight years and nine months after launching a war against Iraq, the United States is poised to finally bring its military operations in that country to a historic end.
 対イラク開戦から8年9か月。米国は、イラク戦争にようやく歴史的な区切りをつける。

U.S. President Barack Obama declared the end of the war at a ceremony held Wednesday at Fort Bragg, N.C., a U.S. Army installation, to welcome home soldiers who had been deployed to Iraq.
 オバマ米大統領が、ノースカロライナ州の陸軍基地での帰還兵歓迎式で「戦争の終結」を宣言した。

During his presidential election campaign, Obama criticized the administration of former President George W. Bush for committing the United States to the "wrong war" in Iraq. Obama pledged an early withdrawal from Iraq, and won the 2008 presidential election.
 大統領は、ブッシュ前政権が始めたイラク戦争を「間違った戦争」と批判し、2008年大統領選で早期撤退を公約して当選した。

The last U.S. troops stationed in Iraq will finish leaving the country shortly, thus fulfilling the promise Obama made after he took office to completely withdraw from the Middle Eastern country by the end of 2011.
 間もなく駐留米軍の最後の部隊引き揚げが完了し、大統領就任後に確約した「11年末までの撤収」が実現することになる。

===

U.S. paid heavy price

However, the United States has paid a heavy price for the war.
 米国が払った代価はあまりにも大きい。

The Bush administration launched the war after claiming Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction, which were never found.
The war also tarred the United States' national prestige, partly because of the chaos that erupted during its occupation of Iraq.
開戦理由とした大量破壊兵器は見つからず、占領統治の大混乱もあって国家の威信に傷がついた。

The country has racked up swelling fiscal deficits caused by massive military spending, and the war has claimed the lives of nearly 4,500 U.S. soldiers.
巨額の戦費で財政赤字は膨れあがり、4500人近い米兵の命も失われた。

Nevertheless, Obama stressed the war had not been fought in vain. "We are leaving behind a sovereign, stable and self-reliant Iraq...This is an extraordinary achievement nearly nine years in the making," he said in the speech at Fort Bragg.
 それでも大統領は演説で、「我々は、独立し、安定し、自立した国家をイラクに残した。多大な成果だ」と強調した。

The question now is whether these achievements can remain in place and be built on in Iraq without U.S. forces stationed there for backup. Piles of problems lie ahead.
 問題は、駐留米軍の後ろ盾なしに、イラクでこうした成果が定着し、発展していくかである。課題は山積している。

After the collapse of Iraqi President Saddam Hussein's dictatorship in the war, the country at one time became mired in military conflict and terrorist attacks as confrontation raged between Shiite and Sunni Muslims. Although the United States finally calmed the situation by boosting its military presence in the country, it would be a stretch to say Iraq is now a nation totally at peace.
 戦争でサダム・フセイン大統領の独裁体制が崩壊した後、イスラム教シーア派とスンニ派の対立を背景に、一時は武力衝突やテロが泥沼化した。米国は兵力を増強してようやく沈静化させたが、完全に封じ込めたとは言えない。

Even today, many Iraqi citizens are being killed or wounded in terrorist attacks.
 多くの一般国民が今なおテロの犠牲になっている。

There are fears that the departure of U.S. troops could embolden terrorist organizations and lead to a deterioration of security in the country.
米軍撤退はテロ組織を勢いづかせ、治安の悪化を招く恐れがある。

===

Region crucial for Japan

Iraq has been riven by continuing confrontation between religious and tribal groups. National reconciliation is an urgent task, but the power base of Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, who is backed by Shiite Muslims, remains vulnerable.
 宗派間、民族間の対立が続いており、国民和解は急務である。シーア派勢力に支持されているマリキ首相の権力基盤は脆弱(ぜいじゃく)だ。

There also is the possibility that Iran, a major Shiite nation that shares a border with Iraq, might use the withdrawal of U.S. forces to step up its influence on Baghdad.
 米軍撤退につけこみ、隣国のシーア派大国イランが、イラクへの影響力を強める可能性もある。

If Iraq plunges into chaos again, it would have a significant impact on the whole region.
 イラク情勢が再び混迷すれば、地域全体に多大な影響が及ぶ。

The United States bears a heavy responsibility for the future of Iraq and the Middle East.
 イラクと中東の将来に対する米国の責任は重い。

Washington will have to not only cooperate with Baghdad in the security field, such as by training Iraqi military forces, but also press the country in the diplomatic arena so it becomes a responsible major country in the region.
米国は今後、イラク軍育成など安全保障分野での協力だけでなく、イラクが責任ある地域大国となるよう、外交面で働きかけていく必要がある。

In his meeting with Maliki in November, Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda expressed his intention to extend yen loans totaling about 67 billion yen to Iraq for programs including a project to improve a refinery plant in the country.
 野田首相は11月、マリキ首相との会談で、イラクの製油所改良計画などへ約670億円の円借款を供与する意向を明らかにした。

We believe such efforts will help develop bilateral ties.
両国関係の発展に資するだろう。

Iraq's stability is extremely important for Japan, which imports 90 percent of its crude oil from the Middle East.
 原油輸入の9割を中東に依存する日本にとって、イラクの安定は極めて重要だ。

In addition to providing reconstruction assistance through official development assistance programs and other channels, it is critical that Japan deepens its economic and business ties with Iraq.
 政府開発援助(ODA)などによる復興支援とともに、経済やビジネス関係を深めていきたい。

(From The Yomiuri Shimbun, Dec. 16, 2011)
(2011年12月16日01時22分 読売新聞)

2011/12/17

イラク戦終結―米国は重い教訓に学べ

--The Asahi Shimbun, Dec. 16
EDITORIAL: U.S. should learn heavy lessons from Iraq war
イラク戦終結―米国は重い教訓に学べ

U.S. President Barack Obama has declared the end of the Iraq war.
 オバマ米大統領が、イラク戦争の終結を宣言した。

Nearly 4,500 U.S. troops were killed during the war that stretched about nine years.
足かけ9年の戦闘で、死亡した米兵は4500人近くにおよぶ。

The death toll among Iraqi civilians is said to have topped 100,000.
一方、イラク民間人の犠牲者は10万人以上にのぼるともいう。

"It is harder to end a war than to begin one," the president said in a speech at a U.S. Army installation in North Carolina.
 「戦争を終えることは、始めることより困難だ」と、オバマ氏は米国内の基地で演説した。

We wish to commend Obama for making good on his pledge to withdraw troops and pulling out of the quagmire in Iraq.
 撤兵の公約を守り、イラクの泥沼から抜けだした点は評価したい。

However, it is questionable whether this war was really needed when we think about the horrible bloodshed it incurred.
だが、流された多くの血を思えば、果たしてこの戦争は必要だったのか。

We need to address this question once again.
改めて問わざるを得ない。

The former administration of George W. Bush went to war against Iraq, claiming the Saddam Hussein regime was developing weapons of mass destruction.
 ブッシュ前政権がイラクに戦争を仕掛けたのは、フセイン政権が大量破壊兵器を開発している、という理由からだった。

It capitalized on U.S. public opinion frightened by the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks on U.S. nerve centers and incited fears that unless the United States took pre-emptive action, it would be attacked again.
 米国中枢部への同時多発テロにおびえた世論に乗じ「先制攻撃をかけなければ、再び攻撃を受ける」と不安をあおった。

In fact, there was no connection between the Saddam regime and the international terrorist organization al-Qaida.
 実際は、フセイン政権と国際テロ組織アルカイダは無関係だった。

Nevertheless, the United States went to war without winning the support of the United Nations Security Council.
それでも国連安全保障理事会の支持も得られぬまま、強引に開戦に踏み切った。

The war without legitimacy drew harsh criticism from both international society and the U.S. public and caused a serious rift both at home and abroad.
 正当性のない戦争は、国際社会からも米国世論からも激しい批判を招き、内外に深刻な亀裂を生んだ。

In the end, no weapons of mass destruction were found. Washington's stopgap occupational policy threw Iraq into confusion and ignited a bloody sectarian conflict between Sunni Muslims and Shiites.
 結局、大量破壊兵器は見つからず、場当たりの占領政策でイラクは大混乱に陥った。イスラム教スンニ派と少数派シーア派との間で、血で血を洗う宗派闘争が燃え上がってしまった。

Obama said: "We are leaving behind a sovereign, stable and self-reliant Iraq, with a representative government that was elected by its people."
 オバマ氏は「安定し、民衆に選ばれた政府を持つイラクにしたことは大きな業績だ」と語った。

But the actual situation in Iraq is far from stable.
だが、現状が安定しているとはとても言えないだろう。

Terrorist bombings are still going on.
 爆弾テロは依然として続いている。

On the very day Obama delivered the speech, at least three people were killed in northern Iraq by terrorist bombs.
オバマ氏の演説当日も、北部の爆弾テロで少なくとも3人が死亡した。

The rebuilding of infrastructure, such as power plants, also still has a long way to go.
電気など生活インフラの再建も途上だ。

As the United States pulls out its troops, it must squarely face the heavy lessons of this war.
 撤退を機に、米国はこの戦争の重い教訓を直視しなければならない。

There are also signs that sectarian antagonism is flaring up again in expectations of a power vacuum after the U.S. withdrawal as the administration of Nouri al-Maliki is detaining Sunnis.
 米軍撤退後の「力の真空」をにらんで、マリキ政権がスンニ派を拘束するなど、宗派間対立の再燃の兆しがでている。

Armed Sunni insurgents who cooperated with the U.S. forces while the country was under occupation appear to be increasingly nervous about retaliation.
 逆に、米軍に協力してきたスンニ派武装勢力は、報復に神経をとがらせているようだ。

Iraq's relations with neighboring countries are also unstable as Iran is increasing its influence in southern Iraq and Turkish forces are advancing into the northern region inhabited by the Kurds.
南部ではイランの影響力が増し、北部のクルド人地区にはトルコ軍が侵攻するなど、周辺国との関係も不安定だ。

If confusion continues at home, it could once again lead to foreign intervention.
 国内が混乱すれば外国勢力の介入を再び招きかねない。

To avoid such a situation, we want the Iraqi people to build a stable democracy on their own.
そうした事態を避けるためにも、イラク人自身の手で、安定した民主国家を作ってほしい。

Japan also dispatched Self-Defense Forces to Samawah in southeastern Iraq.
 日本も自衛隊をサマワに派遣した経緯がある。

It is an active player in supporting Iraqi reconstruction.
イラク復興支援では当事国である。

Japan should continue civilian aid and economic cooperation so as not to create a vacuum in support.
支援の空白を生まないよう、民生援助や経済協力を続けていきたい。

2011/12/16

グアム予算凍結 事態打開へ「普天間」の進展を

The Yomiuri Shimbun (Dec. 15, 2011)
Govt must advance Futenma issue to lessen Okinawa's base burdens
グアム予算凍結 事態打開へ「普天間」の進展を(12月14日付・読売社説)

It has become even more difficult to implement visible steps that would lessen Okinawa Prefecture's burdens as the host of many U.S. military bases.
 目に見える沖縄の米軍基地負担軽減策の実現が危うくなってきた。

The government must recognize that this situation is extremely serious.
極めて深刻な事態と受け止める必要があろう。

The armed services committees of the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives have agreed on revisions to a bill for the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal 2012, which includes a freeze on the entire 156 million dollars budget for shifting U.S. marines stationed in Okinawa Prefecture to Guam.
 米上下両院の軍事委員会が、在沖縄海兵隊のグアム移転関連予算1億5600万ドル(約120億円)の全額凍結を含む2012会計年度の国防権限法案の修正で合意した。

The revised bill is scheduled to be approved at plenary sessions of both chambers shortly.
修正案は近く両院本会議で可決される。

The Guam relocation budget was earmarked for constructing the headquarters building and family residences, as well as for the relocation of 8,000 marines and their about 9,000 family members from Okinawa Prefecture.
 グアム関連予算は、海兵隊員8000人と家族9000人の移転に伴い、司令部庁舎や家族住宅などを整備するためのものだ。

The budget has been cut in the past, but this was the first time the entire budget was frozen.
従来、減額されたことはあったが、全額凍結は初めてだ。

===

Guam relocation to face scrapping

The U.S. Congress has been trying to cut massive defense spending. It has been toughening its stance of not approving the Guam relocation budget unless progress is made on the relocation plan of Futenma Air Station in Okinawa Prefecture, which is considered a "set" with the marines' relocation.
 米議会は、巨額の国防費削減に向け、海兵隊移転と「一体の計画」である普天間飛行場の移設が進まない以上、グアム関連予算は認めないとの姿勢を強めていた。

If there is no budget for the program in fiscal 2013, the Guam relocation plan itself likely would face being scrapped.
 仮に13年度も予算がつかなければ、移転計画全体が白紙になりかねない。

If that should happen, the scheduled return of six U.S. military facilities in southern Okinawa Prefecture to Japan's rule--a key element in the realignment of U.S. forces in Japan--would also face a setback.
その場合、在日米軍再編の目玉である沖縄県南部の米軍6施設の返還も頓挫する。

Many people in Okinawa Prefecture want the issue of moving the marines to Guam to be separate from the Futenma station's relocation within the prefecture.
 沖縄県には、普天間飛行場の県内移設と切り離して、海兵隊移転だけを実現したいとの声が少なくない。

However, they should recognize such a plan is unrealistic.
だが、それは、もはや非現実的だと認識すべきだろう。

The U.S. government tried to persuade Congress not to freeze the funds because it believed a degree of "tangible progress" would be made if the Japanese government submits an environment impact assessment statement to the prefecture within the year as planned. However, the efforts at persuasion failed.
 米政府は、日本政府が年内に普天間飛行場移設の環境影響評価書を沖縄県に提出することを「一定の進展」とみなし、米議会の説得を試みたが、失敗した。

A "far more substantial development" in the Futenma issue will be necessary to convince Congress to revive the Guam relocation budget in fiscal 2013.
 13年度にグアム予算を復活計上させるには、米議会が納得するだけの普天間問題の「より実質的な進展」が必須となる。

There are only two options left for Tokyo and Washington, as well as the Okinawa prefectural government.
 日米両政府と沖縄県に残された選択肢は今、二つしかない。

One is to move ahead with the relocation of the Futenma base to the Henoko district in Nago, also in the prefecture, and realize the U.S. marines' relocation to Guam.
 一つは、普天間飛行場の名護市辺野古移設を進め、海兵隊のグアム移転を実現する道だ。

When the six U.S. military facilities are returned to Japan's rule, the availability of these vast sites will give momentum to a new revitalization plan for the island prefecture from next fiscal year.
米軍6施設が返還されれば、広大な跡地利用により、来年度からの新たな沖縄振興計画にも弾みがつこう。

The other is to give up both the Futenma relocation to Henoko and the transfer of the marines to Guam.
 もう一つは、普天間の辺野古移設も、海兵隊移転も断念する道だ。

In this case, those involved will have to accept that the dangerous situation of the Futenma base, located in the middle of a city, will remain for a long time.
その場合、普天間飛行場の危険な現状が長期間、固定化されることも覚悟せざるを得ない。
===

Govt, Okinawa must see reality

The central and Okinawa prefectural governments must recognize the reality that only two options are left. It is essential that they discuss straightforwardly and seriously how to ensure Japan's security while lessening Okinawa Prefecture's burdens.
 政府と沖縄県は、この現実を直視し、日本の安全保障と沖縄の負担軽減をいかに両立させるかについて、率直かつ真剣に話し合うことが重要となる。

Of course, the responsibility for the current situation rests with former Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama and other officials.
After all, they proposed relocating the Futenma base somewhere outside the prefecture or even outside the country, a suggestion that built up unreasonable expectations among many Okinawa residents--and then eventually betrayed these hopes.
 無論、普天間飛行場の「県外・国外移設」を唱え、沖縄に過剰な期待を持たせた末に裏切った経緯を踏まえれば、現在の事態を招いた責任は鳩山元首相らにある。

Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda has not visited Okinawa Prefecture since he assumed the post.
 野田首相は就任後、まだ沖縄を訪問していない。

It is about time he stood up to break the deadlock.
そろそろ自ら事態打開に動く時である。

(From The Yomiuri Shimbun, Dec. 14, 2011)
(2011年12月14日01時46分 読売新聞)

2011/12/14

火論:花形の時代=玉木研二

(Mainichi Japan) December 13, 2011
Remember past enthusiasm for nuclear science as we edge towards non-nuclear future
火論:花形の時代=玉木研二
 <ka-ron>

It's been pointed out in many quarters that the field of nuclear power in Japan has been failing to attract the interest of students.
There was a time not so long ago, however, that nuclear energy was at the cutting edge -- the superstar of scientific disciplines.
 原子力分野への学生の志望減退が指摘されているが、いうまでもなく往時は最先端をいく花形分野だった。

One can catch a glimpse of this by looking at how nuclear researchers were depicted in the literature and films of the period -- although hints of misgivings are also easily found.
小説や映画に登場する研究者らに、その時代が抱いていたそんなイメージがのぞく。

Take, for example, Yasushi Inoue's novel "Hyoheki" (Ice wall), first serialized in the Asahi Shimbun newspaper in 1956 -- the same year the government formed the Japan Atomic Energy Commission and the industrial world entered the nuclear industry in a serious way.
 例えば、原子力委員会が設置され、産業界も原子力事業に本格的に参入した1956(昭和31)年、朝日新聞で井上靖の長編「氷壁」の連載が始まった。

"Hyoheki" is primarily the story of a man and a woman stranded in the mountains. However, the novel also depicts a senior researcher for a major company lab as a representation of the era's scientific rationalism.
山岳の遭難事故を軸とした男女の物語だが、現代の科学性、合理性の象徴のような大企業の幹部研究者が出てくる。

When someone tells him that nuclear science "carries all the hopes of humanity" and "contains within it every potentiality," the researcher replies, "I don't think only humanity's bright dreams and possibilities are wrapped up in nuclear science.
 彼が、話し相手から原子科学について<人類の夢がいっぱい詰め込まれているものなんでしょう。あらゆる可能性がその中にはいっている>と語りかけられて、こう言う場面がある。<強(あなが)ち原子科学の中に、明るい人類の夢や可能性ばかりが詰まっているとは思えませんな。

It also carries the possibility of humanity's ruin."
そこにはまた、人類の亡(ほろ)びの可能性も詰まっているわけです>

When Inoue wrote these words, the United States and the Soviet Union were locked in a nuclear arms race and conducting above-ground nuclear tests, while at the same time the "peaceful use" of nuclear energy was being trumpeted as possessing "limitless possibility."
 当時、米ソの険悪な対立の中で競って軍事目的の核実験が行われ、一方で核エネルギーの「平和利用」と「無限の可能性」が錦の御旗(みはた)とされたころ。

In the cynicism expressed by the researcher Inoue depicted in the novel, one can see the author's own thoughts on nuclear technology seeping through.
研究者の皮肉を含む口ぶりに「危うさ」を感じ取っていた作者の思いがにじんでいるのかもしれない。

In 1959, the Tokyo Shimbun newspaper ran a serialized novel by noted author Fumiko Enchi called "Watakushi mo moeteiru" (I, too, am burning).
 59年、東京新聞に連載を始めた円地文子の「私も燃えている」は、放縦な私生活を送りながら研究には無我夢中になる気鋭の若手原子物理学者が登場する。

In the story, a young, dissolute nuclear physicist lost in his research absorbs a lethal dose of radiation when he makes a mistake during an experiment.
彼は核融合実験のミスで大量の放射線を浴び、命を落とした。

Before dying, the man sums up the novel, saying, "I turned towards that thing all humanity hopes for: the peaceful application of nuclear technology.
And I bet my life on opening that door just a crack."
小説は<原子力の平和利用という人類のすべてが望む明るい方向へ向けて、一枚の扉を開きかけることに生命を賭けてしまった>と表現する。

Three years later, in 1962, film studio Toho Co. released a film titled "Gorath" in which nuclear power saves Earth from destruction by a mysterious object hurtling through space.
 さらに3年後の62年、東宝特撮映画「妖星ゴラス」は原子力が人類を救うSFだ。地球衝突への軌道を謎の天体が進んでくる。

The entire world's nuclear energy is combined to create a propulsion device at the South Pole and shift Earth out of the way of the object. The nuclear engine, however, alters Earth's orbit.
「全世界の原子力を総結集」して南極に巨大な推進機関を設け噴射、地球の軌道を変えてやり過ごす。

Regardless of the story's plainly ridiculous premise, what can be seen in the film is a spirit true to the era in which it was made, with the countries of the world transcending national interests to save the Earth through nuclear power.
 このむちゃと危険は言うまい。冷戦のさなか、世界が国を超え力を合わせて原子力を媒介に地球を助ける発想が、いかにもこの時代らしい。

In the period from the mid-1950s to the mid '60s, the image of nuclear power was forged by anxiety and fear of a nuclear holocaust mixed with sky-high hopes for nuclear technology's peaceful uses.
 昭和でいえば30年代は、漠然とした不安、核戦争の恐怖、そして「平和利用」の夢といったものがないまぜになって、原子力のイメージを形作っていたと思える。

Things have changed a great deal since then. For today's youth, the Fukushima nuclear disaster has spurred the idea of leaving nuclear power behind. However, on this point there is one thing I'd like to say:
 時と状況は大きく転じた。福島の事故は若き頭脳の「原子力離れ」に拍車をかけたという。だがあえて言いたい。

Look back on how nuclear science was portrayed in the 1950s and '60s. To resolve the great unknowns lurking in the undiscovered territories of a non-nuclear future, a fresh, vibrant intelligence and way of thinking -- a new superstar -- will be needed.
 未知の領域が山積した事態の改善・収拾にこそ、みずみずしい新「花形」の知恵と発想が要る。

Is it asking too much to bring all Japan's top minds together, just like in the movies, to tackle the challenge?
映画のように総結集させようというのは、甘いだろうか。(専門編集委員)

(By Kenji Tamaki, Expert Senior Writer)
毎日新聞 2011年12月13日 東京朝刊

EU首脳会議 金融不安の払拭にまだ力不足

専門用語:
fiscal sovereignty 財政主権
(スラチャイ)

The Yomiuri Shimbun (Dec. 13, 2011)
Europe accord not enough to dispel financial concerns
EU首脳会議 金融不安の払拭にまだ力不足(12月11日付・読売社説)

European leaders barely managed to reach an agreement to prevent the Greece-triggered sovereign debt crisis from spreading to the rest of the world from Europe.
 ギリシャに端を発した欧州発金融危機を食い止めようと、欧州各国の首脳が薄氷の合意にこぎつけた。

However, it does not seem powerful enough to dispel financial concerns.
だが、金融不安払拭には力不足だろう。

Leaders of European Union countries, including the 17 nations that use the euro, such as Germany and France, agreed Friday to conclude a new treaty that will impose stringent fiscal discipline on its members.
 ユーロ導入の独仏など17か国を含む欧州連合(EU)首脳会議は、厳しい財政規律を課する新条約を締結することで合意した。

The countries taking part in the new treaty will specify the principle of "fiscal balance" in their respective constitutions.
 新条約の参加国は「財政均衡」の原則を憲法に明記する。

The principle is designed to automatically impose sanctions on countries whose fiscal deficit exceeds 3 percent of their gross domestic product in a single fiscal year.
単年度の財政赤字が対国内総生産(GDP)比3%を突破した国には、自動的に制裁を発動する内容だ。

The measure can be called a praiseworthy step forward, obliging individual countries to take steps to repair their finances based on lessons learned from the lax fiscal management of Greece and some other European countries.
 危機をもたらしたギリシャなどの放漫財政を教訓に、財政健全化を各国に義務づける方策は、ひとまず前進と評価できよう。

===

One currency, many policies

The euro's fundamental weakness has lain in the fact that while eurozone countries have introduced the single currency, they have widely different fiscal policies.
 通貨は一つだが、財政政策は各国でバラバラだったことが、ユーロの根本的な弱点だった。

If the European countries can sign the new treaty by March as scheduled under the leadership of German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy, European unity will enter a new phase toward fiscal integration, which has been a long-standing issue.
 メルケル独首相とサルコジ仏大統領が主導して、予定通りに2012年3月までに各国が新条約に署名すれば、懸案の財政統合に向け、欧州統合は新局面に入る。

However, British Prime Minister David Cameron, whose country is not a eurozone member, refused to join the new treaty, from the standpoint of protecting his country's fiscal sovereignty.
 だが、新条約案に対し、非ユーロ圏の英国のキャメロン首相だけは、自国の財政主権を守る立場から参加を拒否した。

The divide between the French-German position and that of Britain can be said to have highlighted discord among EU member states.
独仏と英国の対立は、EU内の不協和音をさらけ出したと言える。

More serious was the fact that the latest summit meeting failed to come up with bold measures to contain the raging crisis.
 さらに深刻なのは、今回の首脳会議が、燃えさかる当面の危機を封じ込めるために必要な大胆な策を打ち出せなかったことだ。

Leaders agreed at the meeting to launch the European Stability Mechanism in the middle of next year, one year ahead of the original schedule.
The bailout fund will provide fiscally distressed European countries with financial assistance and has been described as the European version of the International Monetary Fund.
 会議は、財政危機国に資金支援する欧州版の国際通貨基金(IMF)とされる「欧州安定メカニズム(ESM)」について、予定を1年前倒しして来年半ばに発足させる方針で一致した。

The leaders also agreed on a bailout plan that would extend loans of up to 200 billion euros (about 21 trillion yen) to countries in fiscal crisis through the IMF.
 IMFを通じて、財政危機国に最大2000億ユーロ(約21兆円)を貸し出す救済策も決めた。

===

IMF plan may not work

However, there are questions whether the IMF plan will be feasible given that the United States, the largest contributor to the international body, showed reluctance to make additional contributions.
 だが、IMF活用案には、IMF最大出資国である米国が新たな資金拠出に難色を示すなど、実効性に疑問も残る。

The EU leaders also failed, because of Germany's objections, to agree on a common euro bond to be jointly issued by eurozone countries.
 ユーロ圏が共同で発行する「ユーロ共通債」も、ドイツの反対で合意できなかった。

Above all, European countries have yet to secure enough funds to tackle the region's fiscal and financial crisis due to the slow progress of the plan to expand the European Financial Stability Facility, whose functions will eventually be taken over by the ESM.
 何より、ESMの母体となる欧州金融安定基金(EFSF)の拡充が進んでおらず、危機対策の資金が十分確保できていない。

For European countries to regain the rest of the world's confidence, it will be essential for them to act quickly to strengthen the EFSF.
欧州がEFSF強化に迅速に動くことが信頼回復に不可欠である。

It still remains uncertain how the global stock and exchange markets and credit rating companies will evaluate the conclusions agreed upon at the summit meeting.
 世界の株式・為替市場や、格付け会社が、首脳会議の結論をどう評価するのかは不透明だ。

Market players have high expectations that the European Central Bank will support Italy and other distressed eurozone countries through massive purchases of those nations' government bonds. Yet the ECB remains cautious about taking such steps.
市場では、欧州中央銀行(ECB)がイタリアなどの国債を大量に買い支えることへの期待があるが、ECBは慎重姿勢を崩していない。

Germany and France are taking the lead in Europe's precarious attempt to overcome the crisis. They bear a heavy responsibility in this regard.
 危機克服への綱渡りを先導する独仏両国の責任は大きい。

(From The Yomiuri Shimbun, Dec. 11, 2011)
(2011年12月11日01時10分 読売新聞)